Crossamerica Partners Lp Stock Price Prediction
| CAPL Stock | USD 23.46 0.04 0.17% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.001 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.38 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.55 | Wall Street Target Price 20 |
Using Crossamerica Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crossamerica Partners LP from the perspective of Crossamerica Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crossamerica Partners using Crossamerica Partners' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crossamerica using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crossamerica Partners' stock price.
Crossamerica Partners Implied Volatility | 1.13 |
Crossamerica Partners' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crossamerica Partners LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crossamerica Partners' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crossamerica Partners stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crossamerica Partners' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crossamerica Partners to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Crossamerica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Crossamerica Partners after-hype prediction price | USD 23.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Crossamerica contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Crossamerica Partners LP will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0706% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Crossamerica Partners trading at USD 23.46, that is roughly USD 0.0166 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Crossamerica Partners' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Crossamerica Partners LP options at the current volatility level of 1.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Crossamerica |
Crossamerica Partners After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crossamerica Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crossamerica Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crossamerica Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Crossamerica Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crossamerica Partners' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crossamerica Partners' historical news coverage. Crossamerica Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.54 and 24.54, respectively. We have considered Crossamerica Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crossamerica Partners is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crossamerica Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crossamerica Partners Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crossamerica Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crossamerica Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crossamerica Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.46 | 23.54 | 0.34 |
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Crossamerica Partners Hype Timeline
Crossamerica Partners is currently traded for 23.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Crossamerica is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Crossamerica Partners is about 264.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.40. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 398.32 M. Net Income was 22.45 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 398.32 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Crossamerica Partners Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Crossamerica Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crossamerica Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crossamerica Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how Crossamerica Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crossamerica Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.55 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.84 | (5.12) | 16.57 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | 0.20 | 11 per month | 1.14 | 0.19 | 2.39 | (2.13) | 5.34 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | (0.81) | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.06 | 5.02 | (4.18) | 12.26 | |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | 3.62 | 8 per month | 1.92 | 0.06 | 3.44 | (3.43) | 8.50 | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | 0.29 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.31 | (6.28) | 15.34 | |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings | (2.15) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 4.89 | (6.50) | 16.24 | |
| VVV | Valvoline | (0.42) | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.51 | (2.65) | 11.31 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.35) | 12 per month | 0.99 | 0.18 | 2.92 | (1.98) | 6.06 | |
| PBF | PBF Energy | 0.66 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.14 | (5.39) | 22.28 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | (1.96) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.90 | (4.79) | 12.94 | |
| SGU | Star Gas Partners | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.89 | 0.20 | 2.46 | (1.84) | 7.92 | |
| VLO | Valero Energy | (4.20) | 9 per month | 2.27 | 0.05 | 3.48 | (3.19) | 9.59 |
Crossamerica Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crossamerica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crossamerica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crossamerica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Crossamerica Partners Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Crossamerica Partners stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crossamerica Partners LP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crossamerica Partners based on analysis of Crossamerica Partners hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crossamerica Partners's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crossamerica Partners's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 58.53 | 58.04 | 66.75 | 73.5 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 3.76 | 4.77 | 4.29 | 4.51 |
Story Coverage note for Crossamerica Partners
The number of cover stories for Crossamerica Partners depends on current market conditions and Crossamerica Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crossamerica Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crossamerica Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Crossamerica Partners Short Properties
Crossamerica Partners' future price predictability will typically decrease when Crossamerica Partners' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crossamerica Partners LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crossamerica Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crossamerica Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 M |
Check out Crossamerica Partners Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crossamerica Partners. If investors know Crossamerica will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crossamerica Partners listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.001 | Dividend Share 2.1 | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Crossamerica Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crossamerica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crossamerica Partners' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crossamerica Partners' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crossamerica Partners' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crossamerica Partners' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crossamerica Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crossamerica Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crossamerica Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.