Bwx Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| BWXT Stock | USD 130.85 0.40 0.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.154 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.82 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2189 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4461 | Wall Street Target Price 135.1 |
Using BWX Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BWX Technologies from the perspective of BWX Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BWX Technologies using BWX Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BWX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BWX Technologies' stock price.
BWX Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long BWX Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about BWX Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge BWX Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 102.3279 | Short Percent 0.0162 | Short Ratio 1.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 938.9 K | 50 Day MA 121.1796 |
BWX Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BWX Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BWX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BWX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BWX Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BWX Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BWX Technologies.
BWX Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
BWX Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BWX Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BWX Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BWX Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when BWX Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BWX Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BWX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BWX Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 130.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BWX contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BWX Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With BWX Technologies trading at USD 130.85, that is roughly USD 0.0572 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BWX Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring BWX Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
BWX |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BWX Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BWX Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BWX Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BWX Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BWX Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BWX Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BWX Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BWX Technologies' historical news coverage. BWX Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 129.10 and 132.60, respectively. We have considered BWX Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BWX Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BWX Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
BWX Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BWX Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BWX Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BWX Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 1.75 | 3.62 | 0.09 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
130.85 | 130.85 | 0.00 |
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BWX Technologies Hype Timeline
BWX Technologies is currently traded for 130.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.62, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. BWX is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 22.21%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on BWX Technologies is about 884.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 130.76. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.31. BWX Technologies last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2024. The entity had 1398:1000 split on the 1st of July 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out BWX Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BWX Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BWX Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BWX Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how BWX Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BWX Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HXL | Hexcel | (0.03) | 11 per month | 1.62 | (0.07) | 2.35 | (2.66) | 6.19 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | (1.38) | 10 per month | 1.54 | (0.04) | 2.90 | (2.30) | 8.32 | |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems | (2.37) | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.02 | 2.83 | (3.14) | 29.10 | |
| WWD | Woodward | 1.29 | 7 per month | 1.60 | 0.01 | 2.58 | (2.76) | 8.86 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | (0.84) | 8 per month | 1.98 | 0.0008 | 2.64 | (3.52) | 14.62 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | (3.98) | 9 per month | 1.68 | 0.09 | 2.96 | (2.48) | 11.02 | |
| KAMN | Kaman | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | (0) | 5.37 | (3.75) | 14.48 | |
| VVX | V2X Inc | (0.02) | 12 per month | 2.87 | 0 | 3.85 | (3.74) | 20.17 | |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc | 5.55 | 4 per month | 1.50 | 0.05 | 2.69 | (2.44) | 14.78 |
BWX Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BWX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BWX using various technical indicators. When you analyze BWX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BWX Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BWX Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BWX Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BWX Technologies based on analysis of BWX Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BWX Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BWX Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0176 | 0.0153 | 0.0121 | 0.0178 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.13 | 2.38 | 2.82 | 2.96 |
Story Coverage note for BWX Technologies
The number of cover stories for BWX Technologies depends on current market conditions and BWX Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BWX Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BWX Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BWX Technologies Short Properties
BWX Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when BWX Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BWX Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BWX Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BWX Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.6 M |
Additional Tools for BWX Stock Analysis
When running BWX Technologies' price analysis, check to measure BWX Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BWX Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of BWX Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BWX Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BWX Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BWX Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.