Acuity Brands Stock Price Prediction
| AYI Stock | USD 262.73 4.93 1.91% |
Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.044 | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.413 | EPS Estimate Next Year 19.486 | Wall Street Target Price 345.125 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 3.8913 |
Using Acuity Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acuity Brands from the perspective of Acuity Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Acuity Brands using Acuity Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Acuity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Acuity Brands' stock price.
Acuity Brands Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Acuity Brands' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Acuity. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Acuity Brands stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 284.1819 | Short Percent 0.0316 | Short Ratio 3.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 856.5 K | 50 Day MA 310.4756 |
Acuity Brands Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Acuity Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Acuity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Acuity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Acuity Brands. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Acuity Brands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Acuity Brands.
Acuity Brands Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Acuity Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Acuity Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Acuity Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Acuity Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Acuity Brands' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acuity Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acuity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Acuity Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 259.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Acuity contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Acuity Brands will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Acuity Brands trading at USD 262.73, that is roughly USD 0.0837 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Acuity Brands' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Acuity Brands options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Acuity |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acuity Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acuity Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acuity Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acuity Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acuity Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acuity Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acuity Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acuity Brands' historical news coverage. Acuity Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 257.25 and 289.00, respectively. We have considered Acuity Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acuity Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acuity Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acuity Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acuity Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acuity Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acuity Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.95 | 3.53 | 0.71 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
262.73 | 259.20 | 1.34 |
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Acuity Brands Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2025 Acuity Brands is traded for 262.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.71. Acuity is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 259.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 16.02%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.34%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Acuity Brands is about 80.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 262.02. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Acuity Brands was presently reported as 80.24. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.34. Acuity Brands recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2025. The firm had 1:1 split on the 2nd of May 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Acuity Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Acuity Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acuity Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acuity Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Acuity Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acuity Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENR | Energizer Holdings | 0.30 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.73 | (2.76) | 6.06 | |
| HOLI | Hollysys Automation Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ESP | Espey Mfg Electronics | (0.09) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.01 | (3.33) | 15.86 | |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products | (5.60) | 9 per month | 2.03 | 0.08 | 2.62 | (3.46) | 12.57 | |
| NVT | nVent Electric PLC | (0.32) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.32 | (4.58) | 19.05 | |
| ENS | Enersys | (0.34) | 12 per month | 1.58 | 0.08 | 2.47 | (2.66) | 7.79 | |
| WIRE | Encore Wire | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KE | Kimball Electronics | (0.49) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.21 | (3.39) | 10.46 | |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries | (5.62) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 4.51 | (5.23) | 17.80 | |
| HUBB | Hubbell | (12.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.37 | (3.57) | 11.92 |
Acuity Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acuity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acuity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acuity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Acuity Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Acuity Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acuity Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acuity Brands based on analysis of Acuity Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acuity Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acuity Brands's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002314 | 0.002661 | 0.002528 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.05 | 1.84 | 1.06 |
Story Coverage note for Acuity Brands
The number of cover stories for Acuity Brands depends on current market conditions and Acuity Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acuity Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acuity Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acuity Brands Short Properties
Acuity Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Acuity Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acuity Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acuity Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acuity Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 845.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Acuity Stock analysis
When running Acuity Brands' price analysis, check to measure Acuity Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acuity Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Acuity Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acuity Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acuity Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acuity Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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