FIRST SAVINGS (Germany) Price Prediction
| 8N4 Stock | EUR 23.40 0.60 2.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FIRST SAVINGS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FIRST SAVINGS FINL from the perspective of FIRST SAVINGS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FIRST SAVINGS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FIRST because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FIRST SAVINGS after-hype prediction price | EUR 24.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FIRST |
FIRST SAVINGS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FIRST SAVINGS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FIRST SAVINGS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FIRST SAVINGS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FIRST SAVINGS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FIRST SAVINGS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FIRST SAVINGS's historical news coverage. FIRST SAVINGS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.26 and 26.74, respectively. We have considered FIRST SAVINGS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FIRST SAVINGS is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FIRST SAVINGS FINL is based on 3 months time horizon.
FIRST SAVINGS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FIRST SAVINGS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FIRST SAVINGS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FIRST SAVINGS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.40 | 24.00 | 0.00 |
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FIRST SAVINGS Hype Timeline
FIRST SAVINGS FINL is presently traded for 23.40on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FIRST is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on FIRST SAVINGS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.40. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2022. FIRST SAVINGS FINL had 3:1 split on the 16th of September 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out FIRST SAVINGS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FIRST SAVINGS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FIRST SAVINGS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FIRST SAVINGS's future price movements. Getting to know how FIRST SAVINGS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FIRST SAVINGS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 3YB | Postal Savings Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.12 | 2.63 | (2.56) | 37.50 | |
| BBK | Truist Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.09 | 2.55 | (2.61) | 13.32 | |
| OCBA | Oversea Chinese Banking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.11 | 2.43 | (1.68) | 7.54 | |
| 8SP | Superior Plus Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.17 | (4.56) | 20.22 | |
| 6NM | NMI Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.89 | (3.33) | 9.64 | |
| 39O1 | Origin Agritech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.09 | (5.63) | 20.83 | |
| 2DG | SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 13.64 | (10.53) | 52.42 | |
| TLX | Talanx AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.07 | 2.67 | (1.85) | 7.58 | |
| TM9 | NorAm Drilling AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.45 | (0) | 7.26 | (6.43) | 30.27 | |
| INVN | Identiv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.47 | 0.07 | 5.45 | (4.00) | 14.01 |
FIRST SAVINGS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FIRST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FIRST using various technical indicators. When you analyze FIRST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FIRST SAVINGS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FIRST SAVINGS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FIRST SAVINGS FINL, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FIRST SAVINGS based on analysis of FIRST SAVINGS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FIRST SAVINGS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FIRST SAVINGS's related companies.
Story Coverage note for FIRST SAVINGS
The number of cover stories for FIRST SAVINGS depends on current market conditions and FIRST SAVINGS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FIRST SAVINGS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FIRST SAVINGS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for FIRST Stock analysis
When running FIRST SAVINGS's price analysis, check to measure FIRST SAVINGS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FIRST SAVINGS is operating at the current time. Most of FIRST SAVINGS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FIRST SAVINGS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FIRST SAVINGS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FIRST SAVINGS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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