FIRST SAVINGS (Germany) Price Prediction

8N4 Stock  EUR 22.60  0.00  0.00%   
As of 2nd of January 2025, the value of RSI of FIRST SAVINGS's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FIRST SAVINGS, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of FIRST SAVINGS's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FIRST SAVINGS and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FIRST SAVINGS's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FIRST SAVINGS FINL, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using FIRST SAVINGS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FIRST SAVINGS FINL from the perspective of FIRST SAVINGS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FIRST SAVINGS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FIRST because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FIRST SAVINGS after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 22.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out FIRST SAVINGS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9319.5824.86
Details

FIRST SAVINGS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FIRST SAVINGS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FIRST SAVINGS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FIRST SAVINGS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FIRST SAVINGS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FIRST SAVINGS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FIRST SAVINGS's historical news coverage. FIRST SAVINGS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.95 and 25.25, respectively. We have considered FIRST SAVINGS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.60
22.60
After-hype Price
25.25
Upside
FIRST SAVINGS is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FIRST SAVINGS FINL is based on 3 months time horizon.

FIRST SAVINGS Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FIRST SAVINGS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FIRST SAVINGS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FIRST SAVINGS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.65
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.60
22.60
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

FIRST SAVINGS Hype Timeline

FIRST SAVINGS FINL is presently traded for 22.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FIRST is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on FIRST SAVINGS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.60. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2022. FIRST SAVINGS FINL had 3:1 split on the 16th of September 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out FIRST SAVINGS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FIRST SAVINGS Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FIRST SAVINGS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FIRST SAVINGS's future price movements. Getting to know how FIRST SAVINGS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FIRST SAVINGS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

FIRST SAVINGS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FIRST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FIRST using various technical indicators. When you analyze FIRST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FIRST SAVINGS Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FIRST SAVINGS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FIRST SAVINGS FINL, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FIRST SAVINGS based on analysis of FIRST SAVINGS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FIRST SAVINGS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FIRST SAVINGS's related companies.

Story Coverage note for FIRST SAVINGS

The number of cover stories for FIRST SAVINGS depends on current market conditions and FIRST SAVINGS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FIRST SAVINGS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FIRST SAVINGS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for FIRST Stock analysis

When running FIRST SAVINGS's price analysis, check to measure FIRST SAVINGS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FIRST SAVINGS is operating at the current time. Most of FIRST SAVINGS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FIRST SAVINGS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FIRST SAVINGS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FIRST SAVINGS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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