SAIC (China) Price Prediction
| 600104 Stock | 18.19 0.14 0.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | Wall Street Target Price 15.26 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) |
Using SAIC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SAIC Motor Corp from the perspective of SAIC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SAIC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SAIC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SAIC after-hype prediction price | CNY 18.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SAIC |
SAIC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SAIC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SAIC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SAIC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SAIC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SAIC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SAIC's historical news coverage. SAIC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.18 and 22.22, respectively. We have considered SAIC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SAIC is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SAIC Motor Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
SAIC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SAIC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SAIC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SAIC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.74 | 4.05 | 0.01 | 0.45 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.19 | 18.20 | 0.05 |
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SAIC Hype Timeline
SAIC Motor Corp is presently traded for 18.19on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.45. SAIC is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.74%. The volatility of related hype on SAIC is about 666.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.64. The company reported the revenue of 744.71 B. Net Income was 14.11 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 91.17 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out SAIC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SAIC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SAIC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SAIC's future price movements. Getting to know how SAIC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SAIC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601336 | New China Life | 6.13 | 1 per month | 1.92 | 0.20 | 8.54 | (4.03) | 16.01 | |
| 601615 | Ming Yang Smart | (0.20) | 2 per month | 2.36 | 0.19 | 7.78 | (3.82) | 18.14 | |
| 159681 | 159681 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.02 | 0.13 | 8.99 | (4.00) | 36.32 | |
| 159005 | 159005 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.95) | 0.01 | (0.01) | 0.14 | |
| 300729 | Loctek Ergonomic Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.05 | 0.09 | 6.27 | (3.81) | 24.80 | |
| 002952 | Yes Optoelectronics Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.76 | 0.11 | 9.02 | (6.36) | 19.99 | |
| 516220 | 516220 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.09 | 5.26 | (3.03) | 17.74 | |
| 002096 | Hunan Nanling Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.39 | 0.07 | 4.30 | (3.86) | 13.27 | |
| 002999 | Guangdong Tianhe Agricultural | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.00 | 0.12 | 6.20 | (4.81) | 17.06 | |
| 300243 | Shandong Ruifeng Chemical | 0.15 | 2 per month | 3.83 | 0.12 | 10.41 | (4.80) | 31.77 |
SAIC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SAIC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SAIC using various technical indicators. When you analyze SAIC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SAIC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SAIC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SAIC Motor Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SAIC based on analysis of SAIC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SAIC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SAIC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for SAIC
The number of cover stories for SAIC depends on current market conditions and SAIC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SAIC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SAIC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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SAIC Short Properties
SAIC's future price predictability will typically decrease when SAIC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SAIC Motor Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SAIC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SAIC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.7 B |
Complementary Tools for SAIC Stock analysis
When running SAIC's price analysis, check to measure SAIC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SAIC is operating at the current time. Most of SAIC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SAIC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SAIC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SAIC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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