Cofco Biochemical (China) Price Prediction
| 000930 Stock | 5.78 0.04 0.69% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 15.75 | Wall Street Target Price 8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using Cofco Biochemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cofco Biochemical Anhui from the perspective of Cofco Biochemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cofco Biochemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cofco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cofco Biochemical after-hype prediction price | CNY 5.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cofco |
Cofco Biochemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cofco Biochemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cofco Biochemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cofco Biochemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cofco Biochemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cofco Biochemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cofco Biochemical's historical news coverage. Cofco Biochemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.85 and 8.81, respectively. We have considered Cofco Biochemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cofco Biochemical is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cofco Biochemical Anhui is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cofco Biochemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cofco Biochemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cofco Biochemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cofco Biochemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.96 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.78 | 5.83 | 0.17 |
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Cofco Biochemical Hype Timeline
Cofco Biochemical Anhui is presently traded for 5.78on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Cofco is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Cofco Biochemical is about 1918.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.84. The company reported the revenue of 20.38 B. Net Loss for the year was (601.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.08 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Cofco Biochemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cofco Biochemical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cofco Biochemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cofco Biochemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Cofco Biochemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cofco Biochemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 603860 | RoadMain T Co | 0.55 | 1 per month | 2.96 | 0.12 | 7.60 | (4.51) | 17.46 | |
| 600831 | Shaanxi Broadcast TV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.30 | 0.22 | 5.04 | (4.93) | 10.25 | |
| 002861 | Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.67 | 0.11 | 8.96 | (6.49) | 18.96 | |
| 600498 | Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies | (0.17) | 3 per month | 2.20 | 0.18 | 6.31 | (4.17) | 16.52 | |
| 603559 | Zhongtong Guomai Communication | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | 0.23 | 5.03 | (5.00) | 10.09 | |
| 600345 | Wuhan Yangtze Communication | 0.66 | 1 per month | 3.72 | 0.19 | 10.01 | (7.58) | 20.03 | |
| 600804 | Dr Peng Telecom | 0.04 | 1 per month | 3.78 | 0.09 | 5.21 | (5.10) | 10.53 |
Cofco Biochemical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cofco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cofco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cofco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cofco Biochemical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cofco Biochemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cofco Biochemical Anhui, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cofco Biochemical based on analysis of Cofco Biochemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cofco Biochemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cofco Biochemical's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Cofco Biochemical
The number of cover stories for Cofco Biochemical depends on current market conditions and Cofco Biochemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cofco Biochemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cofco Biochemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cofco Biochemical Short Properties
Cofco Biochemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cofco Biochemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cofco Biochemical Anhui often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cofco Biochemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cofco Biochemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Cofco Stock analysis
When running Cofco Biochemical's price analysis, check to measure Cofco Biochemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cofco Biochemical is operating at the current time. Most of Cofco Biochemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cofco Biochemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cofco Biochemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cofco Biochemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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