Zhongtong Guomai (China) Price Prediction
| 603559 Stock | 11.21 0.05 0.45% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
77
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.242 |
Using Zhongtong Guomai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zhongtong Guomai Communication from the perspective of Zhongtong Guomai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Zhongtong Guomai to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Zhongtong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Zhongtong Guomai after-hype prediction price | CNY 11.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Zhongtong |
Zhongtong Guomai After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Zhongtong Guomai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zhongtong Guomai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Zhongtong Guomai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Zhongtong Guomai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Zhongtong Guomai's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zhongtong Guomai's historical news coverage. Zhongtong Guomai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.03 and 15.39, respectively. We have considered Zhongtong Guomai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Zhongtong Guomai is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zhongtong Guomai Com is based on 3 months time horizon.
Zhongtong Guomai Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zhongtong Guomai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zhongtong Guomai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zhongtong Guomai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.77 | 4.18 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.21 | 11.21 | 0.00 |
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Zhongtong Guomai Hype Timeline
Zhongtong Guomai Com is presently traded for 11.21on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.1. Zhongtong is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.77%. %. The volatility of related hype on Zhongtong Guomai is about 3265.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.31. About 27.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 1.84. Zhongtong Guomai Com last dividend was issued on the 20th of August 2019. The entity had 15:10 split on the 21st of June 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Zhongtong Guomai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Zhongtong Guomai Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Zhongtong Guomai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zhongtong Guomai's future price movements. Getting to know how Zhongtong Guomai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zhongtong Guomai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.21 | (3.26) | 10.77 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601668 | China State Construction | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.56 | 0.0005 | 5.25 | (3.97) | 15.78 | |
| 601390 | China Railway Group | (0.06) | 2 per month | 2.40 | (0) | 5.32 | (3.57) | 17.45 | |
| 601186 | China Railway Construction | 0.40 | 1 per month | 2.54 | 0.03 | 6.73 | (3.95) | 17.07 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.15 | (0.07) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.34 | 0.12 | 6.42 | (3.18) | 20.00 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.85 | 0.09 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 |
Zhongtong Guomai Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Zhongtong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zhongtong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zhongtong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Zhongtong Guomai Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Zhongtong Guomai stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Zhongtong Guomai Communication, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Zhongtong Guomai based on analysis of Zhongtong Guomai hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Zhongtong Guomai's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Zhongtong Guomai's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Zhongtong Guomai
The number of cover stories for Zhongtong Guomai depends on current market conditions and Zhongtong Guomai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zhongtong Guomai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zhongtong Guomai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Zhongtong Guomai Short Properties
Zhongtong Guomai's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zhongtong Guomai's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zhongtong Guomai Communication often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zhongtong Guomai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhongtong Guomai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Zhongtong Stock analysis
When running Zhongtong Guomai's price analysis, check to measure Zhongtong Guomai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Zhongtong Guomai is operating at the current time. Most of Zhongtong Guomai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Zhongtong Guomai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Zhongtong Guomai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Zhongtong Guomai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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