China Union (China) Price Prediction
| 000036 Stock | 4.42 0.01 0.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.06 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.07 | Wall Street Target Price 4.85 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using China Union hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Union Holdings from the perspective of China Union response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Union to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Union after-hype prediction price | CNY 4.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Union After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Union at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Union or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Union, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Union Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Union's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Union's historical news coverage. China Union's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.33 and 8.55, respectively. We have considered China Union's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Union is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Union Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Union Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Union is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Union backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Union, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 4.15 | 0.13 | 0.86 | 11 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.42 | 4.44 | 0.45 |
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China Union Hype Timeline
China Union Holdings is presently traded for 4.42on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.86. China is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.6%. The volatility of related hype on China Union is about 290.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.56. The company reported the revenue of 565.2 M. Net Income was 81.63 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.88 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out China Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Union Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Union's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Union's future price movements. Getting to know how China Union's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Union may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 1.83 | 0.05 | 3.55 | (2.03) | 17.17 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 0.96 | 0.10 | 3.09 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 600938 | CNOOC Limited | (0.20) | 4 per month | 1.90 | 0.07 | 3.25 | (2.13) | 16.49 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.49 | 2 per month | 1.95 | 0.12 | 5.83 | (2.88) | 19.77 | |
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.05 | 2 per month | 1.58 | 0.02 | 3.23 | (1.89) | 10.77 | |
| 601728 | China Telecom Corp | 0.10 | 2 per month | 1.69 | 0.11 | 3.49 | (2.81) | 11.12 | |
| 601668 | China State Construction | (0.02) | 4 per month | 2.16 | 0.11 | 5.25 | (3.67) | 15.78 | |
| 600519 | Kweichow Moutai Co | (13.91) | 2 per month | 1.81 | 0.06 | 6.55 | (2.98) | 16.71 | |
| 601088 | China Shenhua Energy | (1.26) | 2 per month | 1.57 | 0.08 | 4.28 | (2.66) | 10.24 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | (0.17) | 2 per month | 2.54 | 0.10 | 6.42 | (3.94) | 20.00 |
China Union Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Union Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Union stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Union Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Union based on analysis of China Union hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Union's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Union's related companies.
Story Coverage note for China Union
The number of cover stories for China Union depends on current market conditions and China Union's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Union is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Union's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
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China Union Short Properties
China Union's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Union's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Union Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis
When running China Union's price analysis, check to measure China Union's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Union is operating at the current time. Most of China Union's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Union's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Union's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Union to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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