Correlation Between Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Transcoal Pacific Tbk and Provident Agro Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Transcoal Pacific with a short position of Provident Agro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro.

Diversification Opportunities for Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro

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  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Transcoal and Provident is 0.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Transcoal Pacific Tbk and Provident Agro Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Provident Agro Tbk and Transcoal Pacific is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Transcoal Pacific Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Provident Agro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Provident Agro Tbk has no effect on the direction of Transcoal Pacific i.e., Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Transcoal Pacific Tbk is expected to under-perform the Provident Agro. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Transcoal Pacific Tbk is 1.2 times less risky than Provident Agro. The stock trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Provident Agro Tbk is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  41,600  in Provident Agro Tbk on October 11, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,600) from holding Provident Agro Tbk or give up 3.85% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionFlat 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Transcoal Pacific Tbk  vs.  Provident Agro Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Transcoal Pacific Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Transcoal Pacific Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.
Provident Agro Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Provident Agro Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Provident Agro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro

The main advantage of trading using opposite Transcoal Pacific and Provident Agro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Transcoal Pacific position performs unexpectedly, Provident Agro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Provident Agro will offset losses from the drop in Provident Agro's long position.
The idea behind Transcoal Pacific Tbk and Provident Agro Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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