Correlation Between PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in PayPal Holdings with a short position of Upstart Holdings. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings.

Diversification Opportunities for PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings

-0.19
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between PayPal and Upstart is -0.19. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Upstart Holdings and PayPal Holdings is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on PayPal Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Upstart Holdings. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Upstart Holdings has no effect on the direction of PayPal Holdings i.e., PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings

Given the investment horizon of 90 days PayPal Holdings is expected to under-perform the Upstart Holdings. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, PayPal Holdings is 2.5 times less risky than Upstart Holdings. The stock trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Upstart Holdings is currently generating about -0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  7,843  in Upstart Holdings on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,152) from holding Upstart Holdings or give up 14.69% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

PayPal Holdings  vs.  Upstart Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
PayPal Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days PayPal Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Upstart Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Upstart Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Upstart Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings

The main advantage of trading using opposite PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if PayPal Holdings position performs unexpectedly, Upstart Holdings can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Upstart Holdings will offset losses from the drop in Upstart Holdings' long position.
The idea behind PayPal Holdings and Upstart Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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