Correlation Between TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup plc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in TFS FINANCIAL with a short position of FirstGroup Plc. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc.

Diversification Opportunities for TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc

0.15
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between TFS and FirstGroup is 0.15. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup plc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on FirstGroup plc and TFS FINANCIAL is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on TFS FINANCIAL are associated (or correlated) with FirstGroup Plc. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of FirstGroup plc has no effect on the direction of TFS FINANCIAL i.e., TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TFS FINANCIAL is expected to generate 2.72 times less return on investment than FirstGroup Plc. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, TFS FINANCIAL is 1.2 times less risky than FirstGroup Plc. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. FirstGroup plc is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  107.00  in FirstGroup plc on September 8, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  78.00  from holding FirstGroup plc or generate 72.9% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy99.8%
ValuesDaily Returns

TFS FINANCIAL  vs.  FirstGroup plc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
TFS FINANCIAL 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TFS FINANCIAL are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, TFS FINANCIAL may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
FirstGroup plc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FirstGroup plc are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, FirstGroup Plc is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc

The main advantage of trading using opposite TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup Plc positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if TFS FINANCIAL position performs unexpectedly, FirstGroup Plc can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in FirstGroup Plc will offset losses from the drop in FirstGroup Plc's long position.
The idea behind TFS FINANCIAL and FirstGroup plc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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