FirstGroup Plc (Germany) Price Prediction
FGR Stock | EUR 1.85 0.02 1.09% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FirstGroup Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FirstGroup plc from the perspective of FirstGroup Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FirstGroup Plc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FirstGroup because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FirstGroup Plc after-hype prediction price | EUR 1.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FirstGroup |
FirstGroup Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FirstGroup Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FirstGroup Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FirstGroup Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
FirstGroup Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FirstGroup Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FirstGroup Plc's historical news coverage. FirstGroup Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 3.76, respectively. We have considered FirstGroup Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FirstGroup Plc is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FirstGroup plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
FirstGroup Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FirstGroup Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FirstGroup Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FirstGroup Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.85 | 1.85 | 0.00 |
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FirstGroup Plc Hype Timeline
FirstGroup plc is currently traded for 1.85on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FirstGroup is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on FirstGroup Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.85. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FirstGroup plc last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out FirstGroup Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FirstGroup Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FirstGroup Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FirstGroup Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how FirstGroup Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FirstGroup Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
FR7 | Fast Retailing Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.06 | 3.09 | (2.98) | 10.32 | |
JUU | RETAIL FOOD GROUP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | (0.01) | 2.70 | (1.33) | 12.19 | |
7RD | SWISS WATER DECAFFCOFFEE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.04 | 4.24 | (3.39) | 11.52 | |
WN6 | CARSALESCOM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.06 | 2.65 | (1.75) | 6.16 | |
T1D | TRADEDOUBLER AB SK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.00 | (7.41) | 22.71 | |
ITB | IMPERIAL TOBACCO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.09 | 2.31 | (1.36) | 5.79 | |
TT8 | The Trade Desk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.40 | 0.15 | 5.63 | (2.16) | 18.48 | |
FOO0 | SALESFORCE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.15 | 4.02 | (2.17) | 14.96 |
FirstGroup Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FirstGroup price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FirstGroup using various technical indicators. When you analyze FirstGroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About FirstGroup Plc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FirstGroup Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FirstGroup plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FirstGroup Plc based on analysis of FirstGroup Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FirstGroup Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FirstGroup Plc's related companies.
Story Coverage note for FirstGroup Plc
The number of cover stories for FirstGroup Plc depends on current market conditions and FirstGroup Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FirstGroup Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FirstGroup Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FirstGroup Plc Short Properties
FirstGroup Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when FirstGroup Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FirstGroup plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FirstGroup Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FirstGroup Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 750.1 M |
Complementary Tools for FirstGroup Stock analysis
When running FirstGroup Plc's price analysis, check to measure FirstGroup Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstGroup Plc is operating at the current time. Most of FirstGroup Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstGroup Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstGroup Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstGroup Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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