Correlation Between Peoples Bancorp and Old Second

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Peoples Bancorp and Old Second at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Peoples Bancorp and Old Second into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Peoples Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Peoples Bancorp and Old Second and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Peoples Bancorp with a short position of Old Second. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Peoples Bancorp and Old Second.

Diversification Opportunities for Peoples Bancorp and Old Second

0.94

Correlation Coefficient

Peoples Bancorp  Old Second

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Peoples and Old is 0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Peoples Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old Second Bancorp and Peoples Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Peoples Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Old Second. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old Second Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Peoples Bancorp i.e., Peoples Bancorp and Old Second go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Peoples Bancorp and Old Second

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Peoples Bancorp is expected to generate 1.01 times more return on investment than Old Second. However, Peoples Bancorp is 1.01 times more volatile than Old Second Bancorp. It trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Old Second Bancorp is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,151  in Peoples Bancorp on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (127.00) from holding Peoples Bancorp or give up 4.03% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Peoples Bancorp  vs.  Old Second Bancorp

Peoples Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Peoples Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental drivers, Peoples Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Old Second Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Old Second Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental drivers, Old Second is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Peoples Bancorp and Old Second

The main advantage of trading using opposite Peoples Bancorp and Old Second positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Peoples Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Old Second can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old Second will offset losses from the drop in Old Second's long position.

The idea behind Peoples Bancorp and Old Second Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.