Correlation Between Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Provident Agro Tbk and Transcoal Pacific Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Provident Agro with a short position of Transcoal Pacific. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific.

Diversification Opportunities for Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific

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  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Provident and Transcoal is 0.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Provident Agro Tbk and Transcoal Pacific Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Transcoal Pacific Tbk and Provident Agro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Provident Agro Tbk are associated (or correlated) with Transcoal Pacific. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Transcoal Pacific Tbk has no effect on the direction of Provident Agro i.e., Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Provident Agro Tbk is expected to generate 1.2 times more return on investment than Transcoal Pacific. However, Provident Agro is 1.2 times more volatile than Transcoal Pacific Tbk. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Transcoal Pacific Tbk is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  41,600  in Provident Agro Tbk on October 11, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,600) from holding Provident Agro Tbk or give up 3.85% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionFlat 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Provident Agro Tbk  vs.  Transcoal Pacific Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Provident Agro Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Provident Agro Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Provident Agro is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Transcoal Pacific Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Transcoal Pacific Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific

The main advantage of trading using opposite Provident Agro and Transcoal Pacific positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Provident Agro position performs unexpectedly, Transcoal Pacific can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Transcoal Pacific will offset losses from the drop in Transcoal Pacific's long position.
The idea behind Provident Agro Tbk and Transcoal Pacific Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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