Correlation Between Northwest Natural and Black Hills

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northwest Natural and Black Hills at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northwest Natural and Black Hills into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northwest Natural Gas and Black Hills, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northwest Natural and Black Hills and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northwest Natural with a short position of Black Hills. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northwest Natural and Black Hills.

Diversification Opportunities for Northwest Natural and Black Hills

0.93
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northwest and Black is 0.93. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northwest Natural Gas and Black Hills in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Black Hills and Northwest Natural is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northwest Natural Gas are associated (or correlated) with Black Hills. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Black Hills has no effect on the direction of Northwest Natural i.e., Northwest Natural and Black Hills go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northwest Natural and Black Hills

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northwest Natural Gas is expected to generate 0.95 times more return on investment than Black Hills. However, Northwest Natural Gas is 1.05 times less risky than Black Hills. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Black Hills is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,889  in Northwest Natural Gas on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  280.00  from holding Northwest Natural Gas or generate 7.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Northwest Natural Gas  vs.  Black Hills

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Northwest Natural Gas 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Northwest Natural Gas are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting basic indicators, Northwest Natural may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
Black Hills 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Black Hills are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong forward-looking signals, Black Hills is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Northwest Natural and Black Hills Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Northwest Natural and Black Hills

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northwest Natural and Black Hills positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northwest Natural position performs unexpectedly, Black Hills can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Black Hills will offset losses from the drop in Black Hills' long position.
The idea behind Northwest Natural Gas and Black Hills pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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