Correlation Between Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Merck Company and Supernus Pharmaceuticals, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Merck with a short position of Supernus Pharmaceuticals. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals.

Diversification Opportunities for Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

0.0

Correlation Coefficient

Merck  Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Merck and Supernus is 0.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Merck Company and Supernus Pharmaceuticals in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Supernus Pharmaceuticals and Merck is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Merck Company are associated (or correlated) with Supernus Pharmaceuticals. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Supernus Pharmaceuticals has no effect on the direction of Merck i.e., Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merck Company is expected to generate 0.68 times more return on investment than Supernus Pharmaceuticals. However, Merck Company is 1.48 times less risky than Supernus Pharmaceuticals. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Supernus Pharmaceuticals is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  9,981  in Merck Company on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (756.00) from holding Merck Company or give up 7.57% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Flat
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Merck Company  vs.  Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Merck Company

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Merck Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest abnormal performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Supernus Pharmaceuticals has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Pair Trading with Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals

The main advantage of trading using opposite Merck and Supernus Pharmaceuticals positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Merck position performs unexpectedly, Supernus Pharmaceuticals can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Supernus Pharmaceuticals will offset losses from the drop in Supernus Pharmaceuticals' long position.

The idea behind Merck Company and Supernus Pharmaceuticals pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.