Correlation Between Lake Shore and First Mid

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Lake Shore and First Mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Lake Shore and First Mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Lake Shore Bancorp and First Mid Illinois, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Lake Shore and First Mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Lake Shore with a short position of First Mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Lake Shore and First Mid.

Diversification Opportunities for Lake Shore and First Mid

0.29
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Lake and First is 0.29. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Lake Shore Bancorp and First Mid Illinois in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Mid Illinois and Lake Shore is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Lake Shore Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Mid Illinois has no effect on the direction of Lake Shore i.e., Lake Shore and First Mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Lake Shore and First Mid

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lake Shore Bancorp is expected to generate 1.39 times more return on investment than First Mid. However, Lake Shore is 1.39 times more volatile than First Mid Illinois. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Mid Illinois is currently generating about -0.39 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,345  in Lake Shore Bancorp on September 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (5.00) from holding Lake Shore Bancorp or give up 0.37% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy80.95%
ValuesDaily Returns

Lake Shore Bancorp  vs.  First Mid Illinois

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Lake Shore Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Lake Shore Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Lake Shore is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Mid Illinois has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, First Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

Lake Shore and First Mid Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Lake Shore and First Mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite Lake Shore and First Mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Lake Shore position performs unexpectedly, First Mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Mid will offset losses from the drop in First Mid's long position.
The idea behind Lake Shore Bancorp and First Mid Illinois pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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