Correlation Between Green Plains and Origin Materials

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Green Plains and Origin Materials at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Green Plains and Origin Materials into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Green Plains Renewable and Origin Materials Warrant, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Green Plains and Origin Materials and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Green Plains with a short position of Origin Materials. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Green Plains and Origin Materials.

Diversification Opportunities for Green Plains and Origin Materials

0.29
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Green and Origin is 0.29. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Green Plains Renewable and Origin Materials Warrant in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Origin Materials Warrant and Green Plains is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Green Plains Renewable are associated (or correlated) with Origin Materials. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Origin Materials Warrant has no effect on the direction of Green Plains i.e., Green Plains and Origin Materials go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Green Plains and Origin Materials

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Green Plains Renewable is expected to under-perform the Origin Materials. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Green Plains Renewable is 3.93 times less risky than Origin Materials. The stock trades about -0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Origin Materials Warrant is currently generating about 0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10.00  in Origin Materials Warrant on September 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1.51) from holding Origin Materials Warrant or give up 15.1% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Green Plains Renewable  vs.  Origin Materials Warrant

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Green Plains Renewable 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Green Plains Renewable has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.
Origin Materials Warrant 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Origin Materials Warrant are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Origin Materials showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Green Plains and Origin Materials Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Green Plains and Origin Materials

The main advantage of trading using opposite Green Plains and Origin Materials positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Green Plains position performs unexpectedly, Origin Materials can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Origin Materials will offset losses from the drop in Origin Materials' long position.
The idea behind Green Plains Renewable and Origin Materials Warrant pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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