Correlation Between Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial Services, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Guaranty Bancshares, with a short position of Orrstown Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial

0.69

Correlation Coefficient

Guaranty Bancshares,  Orrstown Financial

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Guaranty and Orrstown is 0.69. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial Services in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Orrstown Financial and Guaranty Bancshares, is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Guaranty Bancshares, are associated (or correlated) with Orrstown Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Orrstown Financial has no effect on the direction of Guaranty Bancshares, i.e., Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Guaranty Bancshares, is expected to generate 3.71 times less return on investment than Orrstown Financial. In addition to that, Guaranty Bancshares, is 1.08 times more volatile than Orrstown Financial Services. It trades about 0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Orrstown Financial Services is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,168  in Orrstown Financial Services on September 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,494  from holding Orrstown Financial Services or generate 68.91% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	99.8%
Values	Daily Returns

Guaranty Bancshares,  vs.  Orrstown Financial Services

Guaranty Bancshares,

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guaranty Bancshares, are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Guaranty Bancshares, may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Orrstown Financial

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orrstown Financial Services are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Orrstown Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Pair Trading with Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Guaranty Bancshares, position performs unexpectedly, Orrstown Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orrstown Financial will offset losses from the drop in Orrstown Financial's long position.

The idea behind Guaranty Bancshares, and Orrstown Financial Services pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.