Correlation Between Forward Air and United Parcel

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Forward Air and United Parcel at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Forward Air and United Parcel into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Forward Air and United Parcel Service, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Forward Air and United Parcel and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Forward Air with a short position of United Parcel. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Forward Air and United Parcel.

Diversification Opportunities for Forward Air and United Parcel

0.48

Correlation Coefficient

Forward Air  United Parcel

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Forward and United is 0.48. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Forward Air and United Parcel Service in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on United Parcel Service and Forward Air is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Forward Air are associated (or correlated) with United Parcel. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of United Parcel Service has no effect on the direction of Forward Air i.e., Forward Air and United Parcel go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Forward Air and United Parcel

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Forward Air is expected to generate 2.21 times more return on investment than United Parcel. However, Forward Air is 2.21 times more volatile than United Parcel Service. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. United Parcel Service is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,224  in Forward Air on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  445.00  from holding Forward Air or generate 13.8% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Forward Air  vs.  United Parcel Service

Forward Air

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Forward Air are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Forward Air exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

United Parcel Service

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in United Parcel Service are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, United Parcel may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Pair Trading with Forward Air and United Parcel

The main advantage of trading using opposite Forward Air and United Parcel positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Forward Air position performs unexpectedly, United Parcel can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in United Parcel will offset losses from the drop in United Parcel's long position.

The idea behind Forward Air and United Parcel Service pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.