Correlation Between Farmers National and First Bancorp

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Farmers National and First Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Farmers National and First Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Farmers National Banc and First Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Farmers National and First Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Farmers National with a short position of First Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Farmers National and First Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Farmers National and First Bancorp

0.29

Correlation Coefficient

Farmers National  First Bancorp

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Farmers and First is 0.29. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Farmers National Banc and First Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Bancorp and Farmers National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Farmers National Banc are associated (or correlated) with First Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Farmers National i.e., Farmers National and First Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Farmers National and First Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers National Banc is expected to generate 0.95 times more return on investment than First Bancorp. However, Farmers National Banc is 1.05 times less risky than First Bancorp. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Bancorp is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,391  in Farmers National Banc on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (92.00) from holding Farmers National Banc or give up 6.61% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Farmers National Banc  vs.  First Bancorp

Farmers National Banc

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Farmers National Banc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Farmers National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.

Pair Trading with Farmers National and First Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Farmers National and First Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Farmers National position performs unexpectedly, First Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in First Bancorp's long position.

The idea behind Farmers National Banc and First Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.