Correlation Between First Mid and Civista Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Mid and Civista Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Mid and Civista Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Mid Illinois and Civista Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Mid and Civista Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Mid with a short position of Civista Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Mid and Civista Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for First Mid and Civista Bancshares

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Civista is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Mid Illinois and Civista Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Civista Bancshares and First Mid is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Mid Illinois are associated (or correlated) with Civista Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Civista Bancshares has no effect on the direction of First Mid i.e., First Mid and Civista Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Mid and Civista Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Mid Illinois is expected to generate 0.85 times more return on investment than Civista Bancshares. However, First Mid Illinois is 1.17 times less risky than Civista Bancshares. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Civista Bancshares is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,109  in First Mid Illinois on October 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  573.00  from holding First Mid Illinois or generate 18.43% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Mid Illinois  vs.  Civista Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days First Mid Illinois has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong fundamental drivers, First Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
Civista Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Civista Bancshares are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile basic indicators, Civista Bancshares sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

First Mid and Civista Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Mid and Civista Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Mid and Civista Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Mid position performs unexpectedly, Civista Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Civista Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Civista Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind First Mid Illinois and Civista Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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