Correlation Between First Guaranty and First Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Guaranty and First Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Guaranty and First Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Guaranty Bancshares and First Financial Bankshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Guaranty and First Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Guaranty with a short position of First Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Guaranty and First Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for First Guaranty and First Financial

0.26
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and First is 0.26. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Guaranty Bancshares and First Financial Bankshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Financial Bank and First Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Guaranty Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with First Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Financial Bank has no effect on the direction of First Guaranty i.e., First Guaranty and First Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Guaranty and First Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares is expected to under-perform the First Financial. In addition to that, First Guaranty is 2.41 times more volatile than First Financial Bankshares. It trades about -0.17 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Financial Bankshares is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  3,620  in First Financial Bankshares on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding First Financial Bankshares or generate 0.25% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Guaranty Bancshares  vs.  First Financial Bankshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Guaranty Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders.
First Financial Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Financial Bankshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy forward indicators, First Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

First Guaranty and First Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Guaranty and First Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Guaranty and First Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, First Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Financial will offset losses from the drop in First Financial's long position.
The idea behind First Guaranty Bancshares and First Financial Bankshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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