Correlation Between First Bancorp and Lake Shore

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Bancorp and Lake Shore at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Bancorp and Lake Shore into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Bancorp and Lake Shore Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Bancorp and Lake Shore and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Bancorp with a short position of Lake Shore. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Bancorp and Lake Shore.

Diversification Opportunities for First Bancorp and Lake Shore

-0.52

Correlation Coefficient

First Bancorp  Lake Shore

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Lake is -0.52. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Bancorp and Lake Shore Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Lake Shore Bancorp and First Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Lake Shore. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Lake Shore Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Bancorp i.e., First Bancorp and Lake Shore go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Bancorp and Lake Shore

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Bancorp is expected to under-perform the Lake Shore. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, First Bancorp is 1.84 times less risky than Lake Shore. The stock trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Lake Shore Bancorp is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,358  in Lake Shore Bancorp on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  217.00  from holding Lake Shore Bancorp or generate 15.98% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	93.33%
Values	Daily Returns

First Bancorp  vs.  Lake Shore Bancorp

First Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders.

Lake Shore Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Lake Shore Bancorp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental drivers, Lake Shore disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with First Bancorp and Lake Shore

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Bancorp and Lake Shore positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, Lake Shore can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lake Shore will offset losses from the drop in Lake Shore's long position.

The idea behind First Bancorp and Lake Shore Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.