Correlation Between Ecopetrol and First Northern

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ecopetrol and First Northern at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ecopetrol and First Northern into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ecopetrol SA ADR and First Northern Community, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ecopetrol and First Northern and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ecopetrol with a short position of First Northern. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ecopetrol and First Northern.

Diversification Opportunities for Ecopetrol and First Northern

0.74

Correlation Coefficient

Ecopetrol  First Northern

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ecopetrol and First is 0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ecopetrol SA ADR and First Northern Community in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Northern Community and Ecopetrol is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ecopetrol SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with First Northern. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Northern Community has no effect on the direction of Ecopetrol i.e., Ecopetrol and First Northern go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ecopetrol and First Northern

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ecopetrol SA ADR is expected to generate 9.49 times more return on investment than First Northern. However, Ecopetrol is 9.49 times more volatile than First Northern Community. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Northern Community is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  761.00  in Ecopetrol SA ADR on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  42.00  from holding Ecopetrol SA ADR or generate 5.52% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Ecopetrol SA ADR  vs.  First Northern Community

Ecopetrol SA ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Ecopetrol SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders.

First Northern Community

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Northern Community has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, First Northern is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Ecopetrol and First Northern

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ecopetrol and First Northern positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ecopetrol position performs unexpectedly, First Northern can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Northern will offset losses from the drop in First Northern's long position.

The idea behind Ecopetrol SA ADR and First Northern Community pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.