Correlation Between Consumer Services and Precious Metals

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Consumer Services and Precious Metals at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Consumer Services and Precious Metals into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Consumer Services Ultrasector and Precious Metals Ultrasector, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Consumer Services and Precious Metals and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Consumer Services with a short position of Precious Metals. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Consumer Services and Precious Metals.

Diversification Opportunities for Consumer Services and Precious Metals

-0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Consumer and Precious is -0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Consumer Services Ultrasector and Precious Metals Ultrasector in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Precious Metals Ultr and Consumer Services is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Consumer Services Ultrasector are associated (or correlated) with Precious Metals. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Precious Metals Ultr has no effect on the direction of Consumer Services i.e., Consumer Services and Precious Metals go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Consumer Services and Precious Metals

Assuming the 90 days horizon Consumer Services Ultrasector is expected to under-perform the Precious Metals. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Consumer Services Ultrasector is 1.27 times less risky than Precious Metals. The mutual fund trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Precious Metals Ultrasector is currently generating about 0.28 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,796  in Precious Metals Ultrasector on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,078  from holding Precious Metals Ultrasector or generate 54.74% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy98.39%
ValuesDaily Returns

Consumer Services Ultrasector  vs.  Precious Metals Ultrasector

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Consumer Services 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Consumer Services Ultrasector has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
Precious Metals Ultr 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Precious Metals Ultrasector are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Precious Metals showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Consumer Services and Precious Metals Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Consumer Services and Precious Metals

The main advantage of trading using opposite Consumer Services and Precious Metals positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Consumer Services position performs unexpectedly, Precious Metals can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Precious Metals will offset losses from the drop in Precious Metals' long position.
The idea behind Consumer Services Ultrasector and Precious Metals Ultrasector pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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