Consumer Services Ultrasector Fund Market Value

CYPIX Fund  USD 72.62  0.58  0.79%   
Consumer Services' market value is the price at which a share of Consumer Services trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Consumer Services Ultrasector investors about its performance. Consumer Services is trading at 72.62 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.79 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 73.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Consumer Services Ultrasector and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Consumer Services over a given investment horizon. Check out Consumer Services Correlation, Consumer Services Volatility and Consumer Services Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Consumer Services.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Consumer Services' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Consumer Services is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Consumer Services' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Consumer Services 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Consumer Services' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Consumer Services.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Consumer Services on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Consumer Services Ultrasector or generate 0.0% return on investment in Consumer Services over 720 days. Consumer Services is related to or competes with American Funds, Qs Moderate, Franklin Lifesmart, Blackrock Moderate, Lifestyle, and Multimanager Lifestyle. The fund invests in financial instruments that the fund advisors believes, in combination, should produce daily returns ... More

Consumer Services Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Consumer Services' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Consumer Services Ultrasector upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Consumer Services Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Consumer Services' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Consumer Services' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Consumer Services historical prices to predict the future Consumer Services' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.9772.6274.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.3676.6978.34
Details

Consumer Services Backtested Returns

Consumer Services appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Consumer Services secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.25, which signifies that the fund had a 0.25% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Consumer Services Ultrasector, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of Consumer Services' Downside Deviation of 1.51, risk adjusted performance of 0.1899, and Mean Deviation of 1.3 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.5, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Consumer Services will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.35  

Below average predictability

Consumer Services Ultrasector has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Consumer Services time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Consumer Services price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Consumer Services price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.35
Spearman Rank Test0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance25.46

Consumer Services lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Consumer Services mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Consumer Services' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Consumer Services returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Consumer Services has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Consumer Services regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Consumer Services mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Consumer Services mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Consumer Services mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Consumer Services Lagged Returns

When evaluating Consumer Services' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Consumer Services mutual fund have on its future price. Consumer Services autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Consumer Services autocorrelation shows the relationship between Consumer Services mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Consumer Services Ultrasector.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Consumer Mutual Fund

Consumer Services financial ratios help investors to determine whether Consumer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Consumer with respect to the benefits of owning Consumer Services security.
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