Correlation Between Chemung Financial and First Mid

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Chemung Financial and First Mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Chemung Financial and First Mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Chemung Financial Corp and First Mid Illinois, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Chemung Financial and First Mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Chemung Financial with a short position of First Mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Chemung Financial and First Mid.

Diversification Opportunities for Chemung Financial and First Mid

0.78
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Chemung and First is 0.78. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Chemung Financial Corp and First Mid Illinois in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Mid Illinois and Chemung Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Chemung Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with First Mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Mid Illinois has no effect on the direction of Chemung Financial i.e., Chemung Financial and First Mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Chemung Financial and First Mid

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chemung Financial Corp is expected to generate 1.77 times more return on investment than First Mid. However, Chemung Financial is 1.77 times more volatile than First Mid Illinois. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Mid Illinois is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,761  in Chemung Financial Corp on December 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  404.00  from holding Chemung Financial Corp or generate 8.49% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Chemung Financial Corp  vs.  First Mid Illinois

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Chemung Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Chemung Financial Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable primary indicators, Chemung Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Mid Illinois has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders.

Chemung Financial and First Mid Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Chemung Financial and First Mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite Chemung Financial and First Mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Chemung Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Mid will offset losses from the drop in First Mid's long position.
The idea behind Chemung Financial Corp and First Mid Illinois pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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