Correlation Between Cocoa and Corn Futures

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cocoa and Corn Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cocoa and Corn Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cocoa and Corn Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cocoa and Corn Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cocoa with a short position of Corn Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cocoa and Corn Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Cocoa and Corn Futures

0.08

Correlation Coefficient

Cocoa  Corn Futures

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cocoa and Corn is 0.08. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cocoa and Corn Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Corn Futures and Cocoa is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cocoa are associated (or correlated) with Corn Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Corn Futures has no effect on the direction of Cocoa i.e., Cocoa and Corn Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cocoa and Corn Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cocoa is expected to generate 1.99 times more return on investment than Corn Futures. However, Cocoa is 1.99 times more volatile than Corn Futures. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Corn Futures is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  258,600  in Cocoa on December 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  643,600  from holding Cocoa or generate 248.88% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	99.21%
Values	Daily Returns

Cocoa  vs.  Corn Futures

Cocoa

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cocoa are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Cocoa is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Corn Futures

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Corn Futures are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Corn Futures may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with Cocoa and Corn Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cocoa and Corn Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cocoa position performs unexpectedly, Corn Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Corn Futures will offset losses from the drop in Corn Futures' long position.

The idea behind Cocoa and Corn Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.