Correlation Between Class III and Cocoa

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Class III and Cocoa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Class III and Cocoa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Class III Milk and Cocoa, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Class III and Cocoa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Class III with a short position of Cocoa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Class III and Cocoa.

Diversification Opportunities for Class III and Cocoa

0.83
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Class and Cocoa is 0.83. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Class III Milk and Cocoa in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cocoa and Class III is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Class III Milk are associated (or correlated) with Cocoa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cocoa has no effect on the direction of Class III i.e., Class III and Cocoa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Class III and Cocoa

Assuming the 90 days horizon Class III Milk is expected to generate 0.5 times more return on investment than Cocoa. However, Class III Milk is 2.01 times less risky than Cocoa. It trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cocoa is currently generating about -0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,043  in Class III Milk on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (326.00) from holding Class III Milk or give up 15.96% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Class III Milk  vs.  Cocoa

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Class III Milk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Class III Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Commodity's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Class III Milk shareholders.
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Cocoa has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Commodity's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for Cocoa shareholders.

Class III and Cocoa Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Class III and Cocoa

The main advantage of trading using opposite Class III and Cocoa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Class III position performs unexpectedly, Cocoa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cocoa will offset losses from the drop in Cocoa's long position.
The idea behind Class III Milk and Cocoa pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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