Correlation Between Commerce Bancshares and BKV

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commerce Bancshares and BKV at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commerce Bancshares and BKV into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commerce Bancshares and BKV Corporation, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commerce Bancshares and BKV and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commerce Bancshares with a short position of BKV. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commerce Bancshares and BKV.

Diversification Opportunities for Commerce Bancshares and BKV

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commerce and BKV is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerce Bancshares and BKV Corp. in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on BKV Corporation and Commerce Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commerce Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with BKV. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of BKV Corporation has no effect on the direction of Commerce Bancshares i.e., Commerce Bancshares and BKV go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commerce Bancshares and BKV

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commerce Bancshares is expected to under-perform the BKV. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Commerce Bancshares is 1.8 times less risky than BKV. The stock trades about -0.45 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The BKV Corporation is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,193  in BKV Corporation on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (24.00) from holding BKV Corporation or give up 1.09% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Commerce Bancshares  vs.  BKV Corp.

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly conflicting basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
BKV Corporation 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BKV Corporation are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward-looking signals, BKV showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Commerce Bancshares and BKV Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Commerce Bancshares and BKV

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commerce Bancshares and BKV positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commerce Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, BKV can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BKV will offset losses from the drop in BKV's long position.
The idea behind Commerce Bancshares and BKV Corporation pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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