Bkv Corporation Stock Price Prediction

BKV Stock   21.96  0.18  0.83%   
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of BKV's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

0

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BKV's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BKV and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BKV's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BKV Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using BKV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BKV Corporation from the perspective of BKV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BKV to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BKV because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BKV after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out BKV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7624.6326.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.0721.7523.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.3821.7722.15
Details

BKV After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BKV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BKV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BKV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BKV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BKV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BKV's historical news coverage. BKV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.26 and 23.60, respectively. We have considered BKV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.96
21.93
After-hype Price
23.60
Upside
BKV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BKV Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.

BKV Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BKV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BKV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BKV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.45 
1.67
  0.03 
  0.08 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.96
21.93
0.14 
2,783  
Notes

BKV Hype Timeline

On the 30th of November BKV Corporation is traded for 21.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. BKV is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 21.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on BKV is about 912.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.04. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out BKV Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BKV Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BKV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BKV's future price movements. Getting to know how BKV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BKV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARAntero Resources Corp 0.95 11 per month 2.03  0.08  4.91 (2.73) 13.54 
EPEmpire Petroleum Corp(0.02)12 per month 3.75  0.05  6.17 (6.47) 15.67 
PRPermian Resources 0.22 7 per month 1.97  0.02  2.90 (3.33) 8.22 
SDSandRidge Energy 0.05 8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.24 (3.26) 10.79 
SMSM Energy Co 0.20 9 per month 2.95 (0.05) 3.42 (4.03) 10.08 
DMLPDorchester Minerals LP 0.36 6 per month 0.82  0.07  2.24 (1.64) 5.91 
VISTVista Oil Gas 1.60 7 per month 2.32 (0.01) 5.43 (3.89) 12.65 
VTLEVital Energy(1.59)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.41 (6.77) 17.63 
EONREON Resources 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.03) 14.71 (16.87) 139.86 
EPSNEpsilon Energy 0.03 7 per month 2.30  0.01  4.46 (3.74) 11.32 

BKV Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BKV price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BKV using various technical indicators. When you analyze BKV charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BKV Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BKV stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BKV Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BKV based on analysis of BKV hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BKV's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BKV's related companies.

Story Coverage note for BKV

The number of cover stories for BKV depends on current market conditions and BKV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BKV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BKV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BKV Short Properties

BKV's future price predictability will typically decrease when BKV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BKV Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BKV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BKV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding84.1 M

Additional Tools for BKV Stock Analysis

When running BKV's price analysis, check to measure BKV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BKV is operating at the current time. Most of BKV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BKV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BKV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BKV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.