Correlation Between Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Home Federal Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Home Federal with a short position of Commerce Bancshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares

-0.09
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Home and Commerce is -0.09. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Home Federal Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Commerce Bancshares and Home Federal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Home Federal Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Commerce Bancshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Commerce Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Home Federal i.e., Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal Bancorp is expected to generate 2.1 times more return on investment than Commerce Bancshares. However, Home Federal is 2.1 times more volatile than Commerce Bancshares. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Commerce Bancshares is currently generating about -0.45 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,240  in Home Federal Bancorp on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  49.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 3.95% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Home Federal Bancorp  vs.  Commerce Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Home Federal Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home Federal Bancorp are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Home Federal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly conflicting basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Home Federal and Commerce Bancshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Home Federal position performs unexpectedly, Commerce Bancshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commerce Bancshares will offset losses from the drop in Commerce Bancshares' long position.
The idea behind Home Federal Bancorp and Commerce Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

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