Correlation Between American Express and Bread Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both American Express and Bread Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining American Express and Bread Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between American Express and Bread Financial Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on American Express and Bread Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in American Express with a short position of Bread Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of American Express and Bread Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for American Express and Bread Financial

0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between American and Bread is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Express and Bread Financial Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Bread Financial Holdings and American Express is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on American Express are associated (or correlated) with Bread Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Bread Financial Holdings has no effect on the direction of American Express i.e., American Express and Bread Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between American Express and Bread Financial

Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Express is expected to generate 0.53 times more return on investment than Bread Financial. However, American Express is 1.9 times less risky than Bread Financial. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Bread Financial Holdings is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  14,346  in American Express on September 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14,432  from holding American Express or generate 100.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

American Express  vs.  Bread Financial Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
American Express 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Express are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively abnormal basic indicators, American Express may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Bread Financial Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Bread Financial Holdings are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly abnormal technical and fundamental indicators, Bread Financial demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

American Express and Bread Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with American Express and Bread Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite American Express and Bread Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if American Express position performs unexpectedly, Bread Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bread Financial will offset losses from the drop in Bread Financial's long position.
The idea behind American Express and Bread Financial Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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