Correlation Between Auburn National and Churchill Downs

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Auburn National and Churchill Downs at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Auburn National and Churchill Downs into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Auburn National Bancorporation and Churchill Downs Incorporated, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Auburn National and Churchill Downs and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Auburn National with a short position of Churchill Downs. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Auburn National and Churchill Downs.

Diversification Opportunities for Auburn National and Churchill Downs

0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Auburn and Churchill is 0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Auburn National Bancorp. and Churchill Downs Incorporated in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Churchill Downs and Auburn National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Auburn National Bancorporation are associated (or correlated) with Churchill Downs. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Churchill Downs has no effect on the direction of Auburn National i.e., Auburn National and Churchill Downs go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Auburn National and Churchill Downs

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Auburn National Bancorporation is expected to generate 1.55 times more return on investment than Churchill Downs. However, Auburn National is 1.55 times more volatile than Churchill Downs Incorporated. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Churchill Downs Incorporated is currently generating about -0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,289  in Auburn National Bancorporation on December 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (114.00) from holding Auburn National Bancorporation or give up 4.98% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

Auburn National Bancorp.  vs.  Churchill Downs Incorporated

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Auburn National Banc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Auburn National Bancorporation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental drivers, Auburn National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Churchill Downs 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Churchill Downs Incorporated has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Auburn National and Churchill Downs Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Auburn National and Churchill Downs

The main advantage of trading using opposite Auburn National and Churchill Downs positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Auburn National position performs unexpectedly, Churchill Downs can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Churchill Downs will offset losses from the drop in Churchill Downs' long position.
The idea behind Auburn National Bancorporation and Churchill Downs Incorporated pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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