AvalonBay Communities (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

WV8 Stock  EUR 217.35  1.90  0.87%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding AvalonBay Communities is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides AvalonBay Communities buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding WV8 positions.
  
Check out AvalonBay Communities Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in AvalonBay Stock please use our How to Invest in AvalonBay Communities guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AvalonBay and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. AvalonBay Communities. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute AvalonBay Communities Buy or Sell Advice

The AvalonBay recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AvalonBay Communities. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AvalonBay Communities or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AvalonBay Communities' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AvalonBay CommunitiesBuy AvalonBay Communities
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon AvalonBay Communities has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0905, Jensen Alpha of 0.114, Total Risk Alpha of (0.06), Sortino Ratio of 0.0155 and Treynor Ratio of 0.848
Macroaxis provides advice on AvalonBay Communities to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on AvalonBay Communities. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure AvalonBay Communities is not overpriced, please confirm all AvalonBay Communities fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

AvalonBay Communities Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has €8.32 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
AvalonBay Communities has accumulated 8.32 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 69.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AvalonBay Communities has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist AvalonBay Communities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AvalonBay Communities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AvalonBay Communities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AvalonBay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AvalonBay Communities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of AvalonBay Communities outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

AvalonBay Communities Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AvalonBay Communities' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AvalonBay Communities' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AvalonBay Communities daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AvalonBay Communities price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AvalonBay Communities returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AvalonBay Communities.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-1.77
Potential Upside
2.38
Standard Deviation
1.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AvalonBay Communities historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AvalonBay Communities Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AvalonBay Communities or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AvalonBay Communities' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AvalonBay stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
1.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

AvalonBay Communities Volatility Alert

AvalonBay Communities has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.21 and kurtosis of 0.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AvalonBay Communities' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AvalonBay Communities' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AvalonBay Communities Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AvalonBay Communities' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AvalonBay Communities' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AvalonBay Communities and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AvalonBay Communities or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AvalonBay Communities' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AvalonBay Communities by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AvalonBay Communities to competition
FundamentalsAvalonBay CommunitiesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0246-0.14
Profit Margin0.44 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.30 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation30.41 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding139.92 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.30 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions92.79 %39.21 %
Price To Earning28.54 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.12 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.64 X11.42 X
Revenue2.59 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.69 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.2 B3.9 B
Net Income1.14 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents243.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.75 X5.01 X
Total Debt8.32 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity69.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.83 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share80.54 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.42 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share7.65 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.44 X4.89 X
Target Price238.7
Number Of Employees2.86 K18.84 K
Beta0.93-0.15
Market Capitalization22.05 B19.03 B
Total Asset20.46 B29.47 B
Z Score1.28.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return2.92 %
Net Asset20.46 B

AvalonBay Communities Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AvalonBay . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AvalonBay Communities Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AvalonBay Communities? Buying financial instruments such as AvalonBay Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having AvalonBay Communities in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Electronics Thematic Idea Now

Electronics
Electronics Theme
Companies manufacturing electronic appliances and goods. The Electronics theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Electronics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in AvalonBay Stock

When determining whether AvalonBay Communities offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AvalonBay Communities' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Avalonbay Communities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Avalonbay Communities Stock:
Check out AvalonBay Communities Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in AvalonBay Stock please use our How to Invest in AvalonBay Communities guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AvalonBay Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AvalonBay Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AvalonBay Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.