Is AvalonBay Communities Stock a Good Investment?
AvalonBay Communities Investment Advice | AVB |
- Examine AvalonBay Communities' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research AvalonBay Communities' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help AvalonBay Communities navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Multi-Family Residential REITs space and any emerging trends that could impact AvalonBay Communities' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare AvalonBay Communities' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how AvalonBay Communities is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if AvalonBay Communities pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about AvalonBay Communities' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in AvalonBay Communities stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if AvalonBay Communities is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Examine AvalonBay Communities Stock
Researching AvalonBay Communities' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AvalonBay Communities was presently reported as 84.05. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.6. AvalonBay Communities last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2025. The entity had 8:9 split on the 7th of January 2013.
To determine if AvalonBay Communities is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding AvalonBay Communities' research are outlined below:
| AvalonBay Communities generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of January 2025 AvalonBay Communities paid $ 1.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: How Are Institutional Investors Engaging With AvalonBay Communities, Inc. |
AvalonBay Communities uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in AvalonBay Communities. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to AvalonBay Communities' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 31st of January 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 24th of April 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 31st of January 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact AvalonBay Communities' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises AvalonBay Communities' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011-02-02 | 2010-12-31 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.03 | 10 | ||
2013-10-23 | 2013-09-30 | -0.13 | -0.08 | 0.05 | 38 | ||
2009-02-04 | 2008-12-31 | -0.08 | -0.02 | 0.06 | 75 | ||
2002-07-24 | 2002-06-30 | 0.55 | 0.4596 | -0.0904 | 16 | ||
2015-01-28 | 2014-12-31 | 0.97 | 1.08 | 0.11 | 11 | ||
2017-08-03 | 2017-06-30 | 1.08 | 1.2 | 0.12 | 11 | ||
2007-04-25 | 2007-03-31 | 0.7 | 0.56 | -0.14 | 20 | ||
2011-07-27 | 2011-06-30 | 0.64 | 0.49 | -0.15 | 23 |
AvalonBay Communities Target Price Consensus
AvalonBay target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. AvalonBay Communities' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 24 | Buy |
Most AvalonBay analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand AvalonBay stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of AvalonBay Communities, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAvalonBay Communities Target Price Projection
AvalonBay Communities' current and average target prices are 218.35 and 239.95, respectively. The current price of AvalonBay Communities is the price at which AvalonBay Communities is currently trading. On the other hand, AvalonBay Communities' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
AvalonBay Communities Market Quote on 17th of February 2025
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On AvalonBay Communities Target Price
AvalonBay Communities Analyst Ratings
AvalonBay Communities' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about AvalonBay Communities stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of AvalonBay Communities' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. AvalonBay Communities' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know AvalonBay Communities' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AvalonBay Communities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AvalonBay Communities backward and forwards among themselves. AvalonBay Communities' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AvalonBay Communities' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-12-31 | 2.2 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | 2024-12-31 | 2 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Clearbridge Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 22.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 17.1 M |
AvalonBay Communities' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 31.06 B.Market Cap |
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AvalonBay Communities' profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.05 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.10 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.04 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.07 | 0.06 |
Determining AvalonBay Communities' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if AvalonBay Communities is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures AvalonBay Communities' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of AvalonBay Communities' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of AvalonBay Communities' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, AvalonBay Communities' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of AvalonBay Communities' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate AvalonBay Communities' management efficiency
AvalonBay Communities has Return on Asset of 0.0284 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0284 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0912 %, implying that it generated $0.0912 on every 100 dollars invested. AvalonBay Communities' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well AvalonBay Communities manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of February 17, 2025, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to 0.04. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to 0.05. At present, AvalonBay Communities' Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 23.5 B, whereas Other Assets are forecasted to decline to about 383.7 M.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 75.06 | 40.78 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 75.06 | 76.47 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 15.69 | 16.56 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 2.02 | 1.61 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 15.69 | 16.56 | |
| Price Fair Value | 2.02 | 1.61 | |
| Enterprise Value | 30.8 B | 32.3 B |
The leadership approach at AvalonBay Communities' fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Basic technical analysis of AvalonBay Stock
As of the 17th of February 2025, AvalonBay Communities shows the risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Mean Deviation of 0.8769. AvalonBay Communities technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.AvalonBay Communities' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific AvalonBay Communities insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on AvalonBay Communities' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases AvalonBay Communities insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Willson Sean Thomas over a month ago Insider Trading | ||
Willson Sean Thomas over a month ago Insider Trading | ||
Terry Brown over three months ago Acquisition by Terry Brown of 170 shares of AvalonBay Communities subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Sean Breslin over six months ago Disposition of 4000 shares by Sean Breslin of AvalonBay Communities at 215.4421 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Benjamin Schall over six months ago Acquisition by Benjamin Schall of 11703 shares of AvalonBay Communities subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
O'shea Kevin P. over six months ago Disposition of 5000 shares by Oshea Kevin P. of AvalonBay Communities at 185.6497 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Matthew Birenbaum over six months ago Disposition of 500 shares by Matthew Birenbaum of AvalonBay Communities subject to Rule 16b-3 |
AvalonBay Communities' Outstanding Corporate Bonds
AvalonBay Communities issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. AvalonBay Communities uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most AvalonBay bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when AvalonBay Communities has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| MPLX LP 4125 Corp BondUS55336VAK61 | View | |
| MPLX LP 4875 Corp BondUS55336VAJ98 | View | |
| MPLX LP 52 Corp BondUS55336VAL45 | View | |
| AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC Corp BondUS05348EAY59 | View | |
| AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC Corp BondUS05348EAZ25 | View | |
| AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC Corp BondUS05348EBA64 | View | |
| AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC Corp BondUS05348EBB48 | View | |
| AVB 19 01 DEC 28 Corp BondUS053484AC59 | View |
Understand AvalonBay Communities' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing AvalonBay Communities' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.22) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8769 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,364) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Variance | 1.34 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.20) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.29 | |||
| Skewness | (0.12) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6587 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.22) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.8769 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,364) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Variance | 1.34 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.20) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.29 | |||
| Skewness | (0.12) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6587 |
Consider AvalonBay Communities' intraday indicators
AvalonBay Communities intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of AvalonBay Communities stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0177 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 219.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 219.38 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.93 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.55) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.92 |
AvalonBay Communities Corporate Filings
8K | 6th of February 2025 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F3 | 2nd of January 2025 The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock | ViewVerify |
F4 | 23rd of December 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
10Q | 12th of November 2024 Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations | ViewVerify |
AvalonBay Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about AvalonBay Communities that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through AvalonBay media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via AvalonBay internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of AvalonBay data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of AvalonBay Communities news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of AvalonBay Communities relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to AvalonBay Communities' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive AvalonBay Communities alpha.
AvalonBay Communities Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards AvalonBay Communities can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
AvalonBay Communities Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to AvalonBay Communities' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AvalonBay. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AvalonBay can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AvalonBay Communities. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
AvalonBay Communities' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for AvalonBay Communities and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average AvalonBay Communities news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on AvalonBay Communities.
AvalonBay Communities Maximum Pain Price Across April 17th 2025 Option Contracts
AvalonBay Communities' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of AvalonBay Communities close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of AvalonBay Communities' options.
AvalonBay Communities Corporate Directors
| Jason Reilley | Director - Investor Relations | Profile | |
| Glyn Aeppel | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Ronald Havner | Independent Director | Profile | |
| Alan Buckelew | Independent Director | Profile |
Already Invested in AvalonBay Communities?
The danger of trading AvalonBay Communities is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of AvalonBay Communities is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than AvalonBay Communities. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile AvalonBay Communities is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether AvalonBay Communities offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AvalonBay Communities' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Avalonbay Communities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Avalonbay Communities Stock: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AvalonBay Communities. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real. For information on how to trade AvalonBay Stock refer to our How to Trade AvalonBay Stock guide.You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Multi-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AvalonBay Communities. If investors know AvalonBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AvalonBay Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.165 | Dividend Share 6.8 | Earnings Share 7.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
The market value of AvalonBay Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AvalonBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AvalonBay Communities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AvalonBay Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AvalonBay Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AvalonBay Communities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between AvalonBay Communities' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if AvalonBay Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AvalonBay Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.