Vista Oil Gas Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VIST Stock  USD 49.23  1.88  3.97%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vista Oil Gas is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vista Oil Gas given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vista Oil Gas, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vista Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vista and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vista Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Vista Oil Buy or Sell Advice

The Vista recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vista Oil Gas. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vista Oil Gas or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vista Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vista OilBuy Vista Oil
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Vista Oil Gas has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.08), Total Risk Alpha of 0.246 and Treynor Ratio of (0.26)
Our trade recommendation tool can be used to complement Vista Oil Gas advice provided by experts. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Vista Oil Gas is not overpriced, please validate all Vista Oil fundamentals, including its net income, as well as the relationship between the book value per share and market capitalization . Given that Vista Oil Gas has a number of shares shorted of 1.64 M, we advise you to double-check Vista Oil Gas market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vista Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vista Oil Gas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vista Oil Gas has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vista Oil Gas is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Vista Oil Gas currently holds 1.54 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vista Oil Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Vista Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Vista Oil Gas has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 62.0% of Vista Oil outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Vista Oil Gas Surges 10.6 percent Is This an Indication of Further Gains

Vista Oil Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vista Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vista Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vista Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vista Oil Gas price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vista Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vista Oil.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-5.42
Potential Upside
4.35
Standard Deviation
3.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vista Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vista Stock Institutional Investors

The Vista Oil's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Vista Oil's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Vontobel Holding Ltd.2024-12-31
910.7 K
Encompass Capital Advisors Llc2024-12-31
817.1 K
Tt International Asset Management Ltd2024-12-31
810.2 K
Axiom Investors2024-12-31
802.4 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-12-31
786.8 K
Cooper Creek Partners Management Llc2024-12-31
728 K
Ninety One Uk Limited2024-12-31
705 K
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2024-12-31
603.2 K
Webs Creek Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
544 K
Al Mehwar Commercial Investments Llc2024-12-31
12.8 M
Oaktree Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Note, although Vista Oil's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vista Oil Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Capital Expenditures156.9M322.9M485.4M695.7M1.1B1.1B
End Period Cash Flow201.3M311.2M242.0M209.5M755.6M793.4M
Change To Inventory(2.9M)908K500K2.1M(1.7M)(1.6M)
Investments(156.1M)(3.0M)(582.7M)(617.4M)(555.6M)(527.9M)
Change In Cash(32.9M)109.9M(69.3M)(32.4M)546.1M573.4M
Net Borrowings153.9M76.9M64.5M(77.8M)(70.0M)(66.5M)
Free Cash Flow(63.1M)78.5M204.4M16.3M(93.5M)(88.8M)
Depreciation147.7M191.3M234.9M279.3M439.0M461.0M
Other Non Cash Items51.3M27.4M17.8M(46.5M)257.7M270.6M
Net Income(102.7M)50.7M269.5M397.0M477.5M501.4M
Change To Netincome32.2M35.5M152.0M270.5M311.1M326.7M

Vista Oil Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vista Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vista Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vista stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.55
σ
Overall volatility
3.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Vista Oil Volatility Alert

Vista Oil Gas exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.39 and kurtosis of 1.4. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vista Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vista Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vista Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vista Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vista Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vista Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vista Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vista Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vista Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vista Oil to competition
FundamentalsVista OilPeer Average
Return On Equity0.33-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.29 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.27 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.29 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding95.29 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.97 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions61.88 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.64 M4.71 M
Price To Earning5.72 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.89 X11.42 X
Revenue1.65 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.26 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.06 B3.9 B
Net Income477.52 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents182.75 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.06 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.54 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.74 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.53 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share17.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations959.03 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.83 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.63 X3.12 X
Target Price72.08
Beta-0.2-0.15
Market Capitalization4.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.03 B9.33 B
Working Capital66.52 M1.48 B
Net Asset4.23 B
Note: Discretionary transaction by Davis Robert D of tradable shares of Vista Oil subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Vista Oil Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vista . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vista Oil Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vista Oil Gas? Buying financial instruments such as Vista Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vista Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Small Value Funds Thematic Idea Now

Small Value Funds
Small Value Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of small to mid-sized companies. The Small Value Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Vista Stock Analysis

When running Vista Oil's price analysis, check to measure Vista Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.