Vista Oil Gas Stock Market Value
| VIST Stock | USD 49.23 1.88 3.97% |
| Symbol | Vista |
Vista Oil Gas Price To Book Ratio
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vista Oil. If investors know Vista will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vista Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Earnings Share 4.63 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.367 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Vista Oil Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vista that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vista Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vista Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vista Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vista Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vista Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vista Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vista Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Vista Oil 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vista Oil's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vista Oil.
| 12/17/2024 |
| 03/17/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vista Oil on December 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vista Oil Gas or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vista Oil over 90 days. Vista Oil is related to or competes with Battalion Oil, Evolution Petroleum, GeoPark, Antero Resources, Range Resources, SM Energy, and Epsilon Energy. Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Lati... More
Vista Oil Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vista Oil's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vista Oil Gas upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 12.39 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.42) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.35 |
Vista Oil Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vista Oil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vista Oil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vista Oil historical prices to predict the future Vista Oil's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.246 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.26) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vista Oil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vista Oil Gas Backtested Returns
Vista Oil Gas owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0728, which indicates the firm had a -0.0728 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vista Oil Gas exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vista Oil's Variance of 9.55, coefficient of variation of (2,357), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.55, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Vista Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Vista Oil is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Vista Oil Gas has a negative expected return of -0.23%. Please make sure to validate Vista Oil's value at risk, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the Rate Of Daily Change and relative strength index , to decide if Vista Oil Gas performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.06 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Vista Oil Gas has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vista Oil time series from 17th of December 2024 to 31st of January 2025 and 31st of January 2025 to 17th of March 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vista Oil Gas price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Vista Oil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.26 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 11.39 |
Vista Oil Gas lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vista Oil stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vista Oil's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vista Oil returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vista Oil has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vista Oil regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vista Oil stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vista Oil stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vista Oil stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vista Oil Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vista Oil's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vista Oil stock have on its future price. Vista Oil autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vista Oil autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vista Oil stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vista Oil Gas.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for Vista Stock Analysis
When running Vista Oil's price analysis, check to measure Vista Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.