Sound Financial Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SFBC Stock  USD 51.19  0.36  0.70%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sound Financial Bancorp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Sound Financial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SFBC positions.
  
Check out Sound Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sound and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Sound Financial Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Sound Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Sound recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sound Financial Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sound Financial Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sound Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Sound FinancialBuy Sound Financial
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Sound Financial Bancorp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.07), Total Risk Alpha of 0.1231 and Treynor Ratio of (0.71)
Our trade recommendation tool can be used to complement Sound Financial Bancorp advice provided by experts. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Sound Financial Bancorp is not overpriced, please validate all Sound Financial fundamentals, including its revenue, total debt, beta, as well as the relationship between the net income and cash flow from operations . Given that Sound Financial Bancorp has a number of shares shorted of 9.37 K, we advise you to double-check Sound Financial Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Sound Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Sound Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 592 shares by Sweeney James E of Sound Financial at 52.57 subject to Rule 16b-3

Sound Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sound Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sound Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sound Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sound Financial Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sound Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sound Financial.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-2.05
Potential Upside
4.00
Standard Deviation
1.64
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sound Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sound Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
7.1 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
6.5 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-12-31
6.5 K
Qube Research & Technologies2024-12-31
6.3 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-12-31
6.1 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
5.9 K
Fny Investment Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
5.5 K
Beese Fulmer Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
5.5 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
5.4 K
Stilwell Value Llc2024-12-31
410 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-12-31
150.2 K
Note, although Sound Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Sound Financial Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash138.1M(10.2M)(125.8M)(8.1M)(7.3M)(7.0M)
Free Cash Flow(891K)18.8M9.7M6.4M7.4M7.9M
Depreciation1.8M1.6M1.6M1.7M1.9M1.5M
Other Non Cash Items(11.2M)7.3M2.0M(1.8M)(1.7M)(1.6M)
Dividends Paid2.1M2.0M2.0M1.9M2.2M1.2M
Capital Expenditures407K225K398K444K399.6K707.5K
Net Income8.9M9.2M8.8M7.4M8.6M6.1M
End Period Cash Flow193.8M183.6M57.8M49.7M57.1M66.7M
Investments4.5M1.6M(185.2M)(23.3M)(21.0M)(22.0M)
Change Receivables(310K)81K(48K)(866K)(779.4K)(740.4K)
Net Borrowings23.9M(73.5M)4.1M43M49.5M51.9M
Change To Netincome45K(10.7M)7.8M2.6M2.4M2.5M

Sound Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sound Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sound Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sound stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Sound Financial Volatility Alert

Sound Financial Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.44 and kurtosis of 3.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sound Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sound Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Sound Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sound Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sound Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sound Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sound Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sound Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sound Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sound Financial to competition
FundamentalsSound FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0454-0.31
Return On Asset0.0047-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.26 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation128.47 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders16.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions36.51 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.37 K4.71 M
Price To Earning10.05 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.18 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.43 X11.42 X
Revenue4.66 M9.43 B
Gross Profit35.78 M27.38 B
EBITDA10.65 M3.9 B
Net Income7.44 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents76.06 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share29.68 X5.01 X
Total Debt56.54 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity8.92 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share40.69 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.89 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.39 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.94 X3.12 X
Beta0.72-0.15
Market Capitalization122.61 M19.03 B
Total Asset995.22 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings73.63 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.01 %
Five Year Return1.61 %
Net Asset995.22 M
Last Dividend Paid0.76
Note: Disposition of 592 shares by Sweeney James E of Sound Financial at 52.57 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Sound Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sound . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Sound Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sound Financial Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Sound Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Sound Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Tech Growth
Tech Growth Theme
Instruments that are typically traded at high earnings multiples compared to their competitors and other sectors and have been known to drive market cycles frequently. The Tech Growth theme has 58 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tech Growth Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Sound Financial Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sound Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sound Financial Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sound Financial Bancorp Stock:
Check out Sound Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sound Financial. If investors know Sound will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sound Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.586
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
1.94
Revenue Per Share
14.043
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
The market value of Sound Financial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sound that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sound Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sound Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sound Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sound Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sound Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sound Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sound Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.