Safehold Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SAFE Stock | USD 17.99 0.60 3.45% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Safehold is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Safehold buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Safehold positions.
Check out Safehold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Safehold Stock refer to our How to Trade Safehold Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Safehold and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Safehold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Safehold |
Execute Safehold Buy or Sell Advice
The Safehold recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Safehold. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Safehold or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Safehold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Safehold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Safehold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of January 2025 Safehold paid $ 0.177 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Safehold Inc. Given Consensus Recommendation of Hold by Brokerages |
Safehold Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Safehold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Safehold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Safehold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Safehold price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Safehold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Safehold.
| Mean Return | -0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.99 | Potential Upside | 3.33 | Standard Deviation | 2.38 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Safehold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Safehold Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 717.1 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 646.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 628.1 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 435.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 418.5 K | B&i Capital Ag | 2024-12-31 | 417.5 K | Aristotle Capital Boston, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 347.6 K | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-12-31 | 337.7 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-12-31 | 326.2 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 7.7 M |
Safehold Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 49.7M | (58.0M) | 1.1B | (1.7M) | (29.6M) | (28.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (21.0M) | (1.2B) | 24.6M | 15.4M | 37.9M | 39.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (37.0M) | (42.7M) | (464.0M) | 27.8M | (108.1M) | (102.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 32.0M | 35.9M | 53.7M | 46.0M | 50.6M | 98.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 189.0M | 1.4B | 56.8M | 1.2B | 23.1M | 7.2M | |
| Net Income | 59.5M | 73.4M | 600.4M | (55.0M) | 106.6M | 56.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 96.5M | 38.5M | 1.4B | 46.7M | 17.1M | 16.3M | |
| Depreciation | 12.1M | 12.0M | 5.5M | 12.2M | 12.3M | 11.6M | |
| Net Borrowings | 812.4M | 310.2M | 1.0B | 819.9M | 942.8M | 539.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | (29.6M) | (22.2M) | (19.8M) | (18.7M) | (16.8M) | (17.7M) | |
| Investments | (530.6M) | (39.5M) | (1.1B) | (548.3M) | (212.4M) | (223.0M) |
Safehold Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Safehold or Specialized REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Safehold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Safehold stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Safehold Volatility Alert
Safehold exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.3 and kurtosis of 1.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Safehold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Safehold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Safehold Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Safehold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Safehold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Safehold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Safehold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Safehold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Safehold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Safehold to competition |
| Fundamentals | Safehold | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0457 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0286 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.84 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.5 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 71.45 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.28 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.36 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.72 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 26.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.31 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 365.69 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 384.44 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 320.36 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 106.61 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.40 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.23 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.61 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 30.88 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 32.81 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 37.85 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.68 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.48 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.65 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 25.08 | |
| Number Of Employees | 74 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.89 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.29 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.9 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 102.47 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.06 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Istar Inc. of 8698 shares of Safehold at 57.48 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Safehold Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Safehold . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Safehold Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Safehold? Buying financial instruments such as Safehold Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Safehold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Safehold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Safehold Stock refer to our How to Trade Safehold Stock guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Other Specialized REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Safehold. If investors know Safehold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Safehold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Dividend Share 0.708 | Earnings Share 1.48 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) |
The market value of Safehold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Safehold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Safehold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Safehold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Safehold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Safehold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Safehold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Safehold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Safehold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.