Ryvyl Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RVYL Stock  USD 0.96  0.02  2.13%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ryvyl Inc is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Ryvyl's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Ryvyl Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ryvyl and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Ryvyl Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Ryvyl Buy or Sell Advice

The Ryvyl recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ryvyl Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ryvyl Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ryvyl's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell RyvylBuy Ryvyl
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ryvyl Inc has a Mean Deviation of 5.01, Standard Deviation of 6.51 and Variance of 42.38
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Ryvyl Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Ryvyl is not overpriced, please check all Ryvyl Inc fundamentals, including its cash per share, as well as the relationship between the short ratio and total asset . As Ryvyl Inc appears to be a penny stock we also advise to check out its number of shares shorted numbers.

Ryvyl Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ryvyl Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ryvyl Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ryvyl Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ryvyl Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 65.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.12 M.
About 30.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ryvyl Inc expected to post a loss of 10 cents a share - Earnings Preview - TradingView

Ryvyl Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ryvyl's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ryvyl's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ryvyl daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ryvyl Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ryvyl returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ryvyl.
Mean Return
-0.42
Value At Risk
-11.39
Potential Upside
11.43
Standard Deviation
6.51
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ryvyl historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ryvyl Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-12-31
K
Planning Capital Management Corp2024-09-30
1.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
417
Sbi Securities Co Ltd2024-12-31
382
Goss Wealth Management Llc2024-12-31
224
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-12-31
136
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2024-12-31
93.0
Genworth Financial Wealth Mgmt Inc2024-12-31
50.0
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
38.0
Heights Capital Management Inc2024-12-31
120 K
Mariner Wealth Advisors Llc2024-12-31
77.8 K
Note, although Ryvyl's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ryvyl Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash1.1M87.7M(48.7M)32.5M37.4M39.2M
Free Cash Flow(4.2M)(27.3M)(9.5M)33.1M38.0M39.9M
Capital Expenditures6.6K158.9K162.3K108K124.2K130.4K
Net Income(5.0M)(26.5M)(49.2M)(53.1M)(47.8M)(45.4M)
End Period Cash Flow1.8M89.6M40.8M73.3M84.3M88.5M
Depreciation15.9K912.7K20.9M2.6M2.9M1.9M
Other Non Cash Items2.4M16.0M5.8M30.9M35.5M37.3M
Investments(6.6K)(2.7M)(47.6M)(862.7K)(776.4K)(815.2K)
Net Borrowings684.7K2.3M77.2M(6M)(6.9M)(6.6M)

Ryvyl Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ryvyl or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ryvyl's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ryvyl stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
6.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Ryvyl Volatility Alert

Ryvyl Inc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Ryvyl Inc is a potential penny stock. Although Ryvyl may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Ryvyl Inc. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Ryvyl instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Ryvyl Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ryvyl's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ryvyl's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ryvyl and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ryvyl or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ryvyl's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ryvyl by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ryvyl to competition
FundamentalsRyvylPeer Average
Return On Equity-8.82-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0539-0.14
Profit Margin(0.70) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.22) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation25.23 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding6.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders29.83 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.10 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted156.94 K4.71 M
Price To Book1.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.13 X11.42 X
Revenue65.87 M9.43 B
Gross Profit16.12 M27.38 B
EBITDA(33.78 M)3.9 B
Net Income(53.1 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents11.02 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.23 X5.01 X
Total Debt20.32 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.76 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.28 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations33.16 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.98 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(8.60) X3.12 X
Target Price5.0
Number Of Employees9918.84 K
Beta4.34-0.15
Market Capitalization13.66 M19.03 B
Total Asset128.66 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(152.58 M)9.33 B
Working Capital4.32 M1.48 B
Net Asset128.66 M
Note: Acquisition by Ben Errez of 68 shares of Ryvyl at 1.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Ryvyl Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ryvyl . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ryvyl Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ryvyl Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Ryvyl Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ryvyl in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Soft Drinks Thematic Idea Now

Soft Drinks
Soft Drinks Theme
Entities manufacturing and distributing non alcoholic beverages across different markets. The Soft Drinks theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Soft Drinks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Ryvyl Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ryvyl's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ryvyl's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ryvyl Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ryvyl Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ryvyl. If investors know Ryvyl will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ryvyl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(8.60)
Revenue Per Share
11.814
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(8.82)
The market value of Ryvyl Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ryvyl that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ryvyl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ryvyl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ryvyl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ryvyl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ryvyl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ryvyl is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ryvyl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.