Oportun Financial Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OPRT Stock  USD 6.94  0.25  3.48%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Oportun Financial Corp is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Oportun Financial Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Oportun Financial Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Oportun Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Oportun and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Oportun Financial Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Oportun Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Oportun recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Oportun Financial Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Oportun Financial Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Oportun Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Oportun FinancialBuy Oportun Financial
Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Oportun Financial Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2052, Jensen Alpha of 1.35, Total Risk Alpha of 1.32, Sortino Ratio of 0.379 and Treynor Ratio of 1.21
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Oportun Financial Corp. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Oportun Financial is not overpriced, please check all Oportun Financial Corp fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Oportun Financial Corp has a number of shares shorted of 126.94 K, we recommend you to check out Oportun Financial Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Oportun Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Oportun Financial is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Oportun Financial appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1 B. Net Loss for the year was (78.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 726.77 M.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Oportun Financial Corporation Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out

Oportun Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Oportun Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Oportun Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Oportun Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Oportun Financial Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Oportun Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Oportun Financial.
Mean Return
1.37
Value At Risk
-5.29
Potential Upside
12.20
Standard Deviation
5.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Oportun Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Oportun Stock Institutional Investors

The Oportun Financial's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Oportun Financial's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Madrone Advisors Llc2024-12-31
540.6 K
Union Square Park Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
532.9 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
508.5 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
424.6 K
Kennedy Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
345.8 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
317.1 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-12-31
312.6 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-12-31
290.3 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
237.7 K
Findell Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
3.5 M
Long Focus Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Note, although Oportun Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Oportun Financial Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Investments43.0M(884.8M)(1.1B)(445.0M)(193.7M)(203.4M)
Change In Cash32.5M24.4M10.8M2.2M8.6M15.9M
Net Borrowings225.0M(135.3M)748.9M943.2M1.1B1.1B
Free Cash Flow126.3M136.9M199M361.5M374.3M197.3M
Depreciation20.2M27.1M47.5M54.9M51.2M27.6M
Other Non Cash Items207.1M64.0M314.7M520.3M451.3M473.9M
Capital Expenditures26.6M26.5M48.9M31.3M19.2M25.8M
Net Income(45.1M)47.4M(77.7M)(180.0M)(78.7M)(74.8M)
End Period Cash Flow168.6M193M203.8M206.0M214.6M160.0M
Change To Netincome127.6M22.6M102.7M166.8M191.9M201.4M

Oportun Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Oportun Financial or Consumer Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Oportun Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Oportun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.12
σ
Overall volatility
5.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Oportun Financial Volatility Alert

Oportun Financial Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Oportun Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Oportun Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Oportun Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Oportun Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Oportun Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Oportun Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Oportun Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Oportun Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oportun Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Oportun Financial to competition
FundamentalsOportun FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.21-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0237-0.14
Profit Margin(0.10) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.02 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding36.13 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions66.57 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted126.94 K4.71 M
Price To Earning4.23 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.34 X11.42 X
Revenue1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit726.77 M27.38 B
EBITDA176.25 M3.9 B
Net Income(78.7 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents66.71 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.03 X5.01 X
Total Debt18.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio41.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.80 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations393.52 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.59 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.95) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(1.04) X4.89 X
Target Price8.5
Number Of Employees2.31 K18.84 K
Beta1.17-0.15
Market Capitalization259.81 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(252.53 M)9.33 B
Net Asset3.23 B
Note: Acquisition by Minetti Carlos of 15000 shares of Oportun Financial at 3.89 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Oportun Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Oportun . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Oportun Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Oportun Financial Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Oportun Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Oportun Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Business Supplies
Business Supplies Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Business Supplies theme has 24 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Business Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Oportun Stock Analysis

When running Oportun Financial's price analysis, check to measure Oportun Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oportun Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Oportun Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oportun Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oportun Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oportun Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.