Orion Engineered Carbons Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OEC Stock  USD 13.16  0.42  3.30%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Orion Engineered Carbons is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Orion Engineered buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OEC positions.
  
Check out Orion Engineered Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Orion and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Orion Engineered Carbons. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Orion Engineered Buy or Sell Advice

The Orion recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orion Engineered Carbons. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orion Engineered Carbons or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orion Engineered's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Orion EngineeredBuy Orion Engineered
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Orion Engineered Carbons has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16), Jensen Alpha of (0.35), Total Risk Alpha of (0.16) and Treynor Ratio of (0.47)
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Orion Engineered Carbons and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Orion Engineered is not overpriced, please check all Orion Engineered Carbons fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Orion Engineered Carbons has a price to earning of 63.13 X, we recommend you to check out Orion Engineered Carbons market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Orion Engineered Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Orion Engineered generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orion Engineered is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Orion Engineered has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of January 2025 Orion Engineered paid $ 0.0207 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Orion Corporation Disclosure Under Chapter 9 Section 10 of the Securities Market Act

Orion Engineered Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Orion Engineered's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Orion Engineered's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orion Engineered daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orion Engineered Carbons price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orion Engineered returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orion Engineered.
Mean Return
-0.44
Value At Risk
-3.55
Potential Upside
3.40
Standard Deviation
2.34
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orion Engineered historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Orion Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.3 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-12-31
1.3 M
Divisar Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-12-31
1.1 M
Inherent Group, Lp2024-09-30
M
Schroder Investment Management Group2024-12-31
972.7 K
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
962.7 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
960.3 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-12-31
928.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
4.3 M
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
3.5 M
Note, although Orion Engineered's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Orion Engineered Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory30.0M(94.9M)(60.1M)(7.7M)(19.6M)(18.6M)
Change In Cash(3.4M)(2.2M)(7.7M)(23.2M)4.5M4.7M
Free Cash Flow(19.7M)(69.5M)(151.8M)173.1M125.3M131.6M
Depreciation96.5M104.1M105.7M113M125.3M108.9M
Other Non Cash Items7.2M(4.4M)(6.8M)(400K)1.6M1.5M
Capital Expenditures144.9M214.7M232.8M172.8M206.7M147.0M
Net Income18.2M134.7M106.2M103.5M44.2M66.2M
End Period Cash Flow64.9M65.7M60.8M40.2M44.7M55.4M
Net Borrowings(12.4M)26.8M76.2M160.3M184.3M193.6M
Dividends Paid48.0M12.0M5M4.9M4.8M4.6M
Change To Netincome28.1M(2.6M)17M6.2M5.6M5.3M
Investments(144.9M)(214.7M)(232.8M)(176.7M)(206.7M)(217.0M)

Orion Engineered Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orion Engineered or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orion Engineered's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orion stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
2.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Orion Engineered Volatility Alert

Orion Engineered Carbons exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.38 and kurtosis of 0.09. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orion Engineered's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orion Engineered's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Orion Engineered Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Orion Engineered's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orion Engineered's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orion Engineered and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orion Engineered or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orion Engineered's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orion Engineered by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Orion Engineered to competition
FundamentalsOrion EngineeredPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0927-0.31
Return On Asset0.0549-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.73 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding56.65 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.65 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.64 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted865.19 K4.71 M
Price To Earning63.13 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.57 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.40 X11.42 X
Revenue1.88 B9.43 B
Gross Profit428.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA102.7 M3.9 B
Net Income44.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents60.8 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.67 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.03 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.39 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations125.3 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.56 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.76 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.25 X4.89 X
Target Price21.0
Number Of Employees1.66 K18.84 K
Beta1.54-0.15
Market Capitalization745.57 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.86 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings457 M9.33 B
Working Capital96.6 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 88974 shares by Corning Painter of Orion Engineered at 23.08 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Orion Engineered Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orion . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Orion Engineered Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Orion Engineered Carbons? Buying financial instruments such as Orion Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Orion Engineered in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Orion Engineered Carbons offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orion Engineered's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orion Engineered Carbons Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orion Engineered Carbons Stock:
Check out Orion Engineered Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orion Engineered. If investors know Orion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orion Engineered listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.622
Dividend Share
0.083
Earnings Share
0.76
Revenue Per Share
32.247
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Orion Engineered Carbons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orion Engineered's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orion Engineered's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orion Engineered's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orion Engineered's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orion Engineered's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orion Engineered is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orion Engineered's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.