Orion Engineered Carbons Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| OEC Stock | USD 15.54 0.04 0.26% |
Orion | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Orion Engineered Carbons Company probability of distress Analysis
Orion Engineered's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
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Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Orion Engineered Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 5% |
Most of Orion Engineered's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Orion Engineered Carbons is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Orion Engineered probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Orion Engineered odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Orion Engineered Carbons financial health.
Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orion Engineered. If investors know Orion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orion Engineered listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Dividend Share 0.085 | Earnings Share 0.54 | Revenue Per Share 32.767 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Orion Engineered Carbons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orion Engineered's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orion Engineered's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orion Engineered's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orion Engineered's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orion Engineered's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orion Engineered is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orion Engineered's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Orion Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Orion Engineered is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Orion Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Orion Engineered's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Orion Engineered's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Orion Engineered's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Orion Engineered Carbons has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 88.72% lower than that of the Chemicals sector and 88.04% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.
Orion Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Orion Engineered's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Orion Engineered could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orion Engineered by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Orion Engineered is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Orion Engineered Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | 0.0691 | 0.0131 | 0.0826 | 0.0562 | 0.0565 | 0.029 | |
| Asset Turnover | 1.14 | 1.24 | 1.17 | 0.82 | 0.95 | 1.08 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.24 | |
| Net Debt | 602.9M | 673.6M | 717.2M | 854.5M | 889.7M | 681.6M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 285.2M | 324.7M | 448.7M | 552.8M | 440.3M | 346.3M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 786.2M | 884.0M | 862.6M | 876.5M | 914.6M | 726.1M | |
| Total Assets | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 1.8B | 1.5B | |
| Total Current Assets | 507.7M | 500.5M | 665M | 778.5M | 646.1M | 628.4M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 231.5M | 125.3M | 145.2M | 81M | 345.9M | 363.2M |
Orion Engineered ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Orion Engineered's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Orion Engineered's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Orion Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0665 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0354 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.03) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.83 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 57.72 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.53 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.44 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 752.13 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 63.13 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.93 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.48 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.89 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 448.8 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 327.2 M | ||||
| Net Income | 103.5 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 60.8 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.67 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 927.2 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.23 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.39 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.25 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 345.9 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 1.25 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.54 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.25 X | ||||
| Target Price | 23.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 1.65 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.49 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 917.17 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.83 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 417.6 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 205.8 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 374.69 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 169.41 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 4.01 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 1.83 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.085 |
About Orion Engineered Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Orion Engineered Carbons's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Orion Engineered using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Orion Engineered Carbons based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Orion Engineered Carbons offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orion Engineered's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orion Engineered Carbons Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orion Engineered Carbons Stock:Check out Orion Engineered Piotroski F Score and Orion Engineered Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orion Engineered. If investors know Orion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orion Engineered listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Dividend Share 0.085 | Earnings Share 0.54 | Revenue Per Share 32.767 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Orion Engineered Carbons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orion Engineered's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orion Engineered's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orion Engineered's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orion Engineered's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orion Engineered's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orion Engineered is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orion Engineered's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.