NCL International (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NCL Stock  THB 0.23  0.02  8.00%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding NCL International Logistics is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of NCL International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out NCL International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NCL and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NCL International Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute NCL International Buy or Sell Advice

The NCL recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NCL International Logistics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NCL International Logistics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NCL International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NCL InternationalBuy NCL International
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon NCL International Logistics has a Mean Deviation of 3.6, Standard Deviation of 5.0 and Variance of 24.95
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on NCL International Logistics. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available today. To make sure NCL International is not overpriced, please verify all NCL International Logistics fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, revenue, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and price to sales .

NCL International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

NCL International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NCL International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
NCL International has high historical volatility and very poor performance
NCL International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
NCL International Logistics has accumulated 68.65 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 80.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. NCL International has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NCL International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NCL International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NCL International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NCL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NCL International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 39.0% of NCL International outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

NCL International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NCL International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NCL International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NCL International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NCL International Logistics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NCL International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NCL International.
Mean Return
-1.07
Value At Risk
-7.84
Potential Upside
5.56
Standard Deviation
5.00
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NCL International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NCL International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NCL International or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NCL International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NCL stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
4.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

NCL International Volatility Alert

NCL International Logistics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.11 and kurtosis of 5.69. NCL International Logistics is a potential penny stock. Although NCL International may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in NCL International Logistics. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on NCL instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

NCL International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NCL International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NCL International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NCL International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NCL International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NCL International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NCL International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NCL International to competition
FundamentalsNCL InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0639-0.31
Return On Asset0.028-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.66 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding528.23 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders39.42 %10.09 %
Price To Earning(61.57) X28.72 X
Price To Book2.08 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.61 X11.42 X
Revenue1.89 B9.43 B
Gross Profit361.05 M27.38 B
EBITDA181.06 M3.9 B
Net Income111.08 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents46.09 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt68.65 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity80.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.27 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations98.99 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.07 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1218.84 K
Beta0.34-0.15
Market Capitalization1.5 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.05 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3 M9.33 B
Working Capital(69 M)1.48 B
Current Asset240 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities309 M7.9 B
Z Score13.68.72
Annual Yield0.01 %
Net Asset1.05 B

NCL International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NCL . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NCL International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NCL International Logistics? Buying financial instruments such as NCL Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in NCL Stock

NCL International financial ratios help investors to determine whether NCL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NCL with respect to the benefits of owning NCL International security.