NCL International (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NCL Stock | THB 0.23 0.02 8.00% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding NCL International Logistics is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of NCL International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out NCL International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NCL and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NCL International Logistics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
NCL |
Execute NCL International Buy or Sell Advice
The NCL recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NCL International Logistics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NCL International Logistics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NCL International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
NCL International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| NCL International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NCL International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| NCL International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| NCL International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| NCL International Logistics has accumulated 68.65 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 80.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. NCL International has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist NCL International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, NCL International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like NCL International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for NCL to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about NCL International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 39.0% of NCL International outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NCL International Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of NCL International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NCL International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NCL International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NCL International Logistics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NCL International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NCL International.
| Mean Return | -1.07 | Value At Risk | -7.84 | Potential Upside | 5.56 | Standard Deviation | 5.00 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NCL International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
NCL International Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NCL International or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NCL International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NCL stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
NCL International Volatility Alert
NCL International Logistics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.11 and kurtosis of 5.69. NCL International Logistics is a potential penny stock. Although NCL International may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in NCL International Logistics. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on NCL instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.NCL International Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing NCL International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NCL International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NCL International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NCL International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NCL International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NCL International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare NCL International to competition |
| Fundamentals | NCL International | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0639 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.028 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.66 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 528.23 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 39.42 % | 10.09 % |
| Price To Earning | (61.57) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.08 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.89 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 361.05 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 181.06 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 111.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 46.09 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 68.65 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 80.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.79 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 98.99 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.07 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 12 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.34 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.5 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.05 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (69 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 240 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 309 M | 7.9 B |
| Z Score | 13.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.05 B |
NCL International Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NCL . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About NCL International Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell NCL International Logistics? Buying financial instruments such as NCL Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in NCL Stock
NCL International financial ratios help investors to determine whether NCL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NCL with respect to the benefits of owning NCL International security.