Lumen Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LUMN Stock | USD 4.87 0.22 4.73% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lumen Technologies is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Lumen Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Lumen Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Lumen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lumen Technologies guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lumen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lumen Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
Lumen |
Execute Lumen Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
The Lumen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lumen Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lumen Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lumen Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | About Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Excited | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Lumen Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Lumen Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lumen Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.11 B. Net Loss for the year was (55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.41 B. | |
| Lumen Technologies has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Disposition of 236435 shares by Christopher Stansbury of Lumen Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Lumen Technologies Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lumen Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lumen Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lumen Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lumen Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lumen Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lumen Technologies.
| Mean Return | -0.47 | Value At Risk | -6.98 | Potential Upside | 5.65 | Standard Deviation | 3.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lumen Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lumen Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Lumen Technologies, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lumen Technologies back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-12-31 | 11.7 M | Palestra Capital Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 11.2 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 10.6 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 9.8 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 9.6 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 9.2 M | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-12-31 | 8.9 M | Hennessy Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 8.5 M | Allianz Asset Management Ag | 2024-12-31 | 7.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 148.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 109.3 M |
Lumen Technologies Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (1.3B) | (18M) | 898M | 941M | (348M) | (330.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.8B | 3.6B | 1.7B | (940M) | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| Depreciation | 4.7B | 4.0B | 3.2B | 3.0B | 3.0B | 2.0B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.9B | 139M | 3.4B | 10.4B | (738M) | (701.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.1B | 1.1B | 780M | 11M | 3M | 2.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.7B | 2.9B | 3.0B | 3.1B | 3.2B | 3.4B | |
| Net Income | (1.2B) | 2.0B | (1.5B) | (10.3B) | (55M) | (57.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 427M | 409M | 1.3B | 2.2B | 1.9B | 2.0B | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.2B | 3.5B | 815M | 2.4B | 2.8B | 1.4B | |
| Change To Inventory | 266M | 428M | 269M | (5M) | (5.8M) | (5.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (5M) | 115M | (8M) | (158M) | (181.7M) | (172.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (750M) | (3.1B) | (1.7B) | (8.3B) | (7.5B) | (7.1B) | |
| Investments | (3.6B) | (2.7B) | 5.5B | (1.2B) | (2.8B) | (3.0B) |
Lumen Technologies Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lumen Technologies or Diversified Telecommunication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lumen Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lumen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Lumen Technologies Volatility Alert
Lumen Technologies exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.67 and kurtosis of 2.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lumen Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lumen Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lumen Technologies Implied Volatility
Lumen Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lumen Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lumen Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lumen Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lumen Technologies' options are near their expiration.
Lumen Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lumen Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lumen Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lumen Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lumen Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lumen Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lumen Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lumen Technologies to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lumen Technologies | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0084 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.01 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 20.98 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.01 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.19 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 71.32 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 77.44 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.45 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 10.16 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 13.11 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.41 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 4.1 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (55 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 360 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.35 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 18.16 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.33 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.04 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.46 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.33 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.63 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.06) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 54.58 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 5.05 | |
| Number Of Employees | 25 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.27 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.94 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 33.5 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (17.96 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 755 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 236435 shares by Christopher Stansbury of Lumen Technologies subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Lumen Technologies Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lumen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Lumen Technologies Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lumen Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Lumen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Lumen Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Lumen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lumen Technologies guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lumen Technologies. If investors know Lumen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lumen Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Lumen Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumen Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumen Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumen Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumen Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumen Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lumen Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumen Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.