First Business Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FBIZ Stock  USD 47.39  0.71  1.52%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding First Business Financial is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell First Business Financial given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for First Business Financial, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out First Business Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as First and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards First Business Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute First Business Buy or Sell Advice

The First recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on First Business Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in First Business Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute First Business' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell First BusinessBuy First Business
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon First Business Financial has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of 0.0497, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1912 and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement First Business trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure First Business is not overpriced, please confirm all First Business Financial fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that First Business Financial has a number of shares shorted of 46.96 K, we urge you to verify First Business Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

First Business Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

First Business generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 28th of February 2025 First Business paid $ 0.29 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: First Business Financial Services Inc. Acquires 3,511 Shares of Exxon Mobil Co. - MarketBeat

First Business Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of First Business' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of First Business' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of First Business daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use First Business Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of First Business returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for First Business.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-3.19
Potential Upside
2.86
Standard Deviation
1.95
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of First Business historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

First Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as First Business, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Business Financial back and forth among themselves.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
112 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-12-31
98.3 K
M3f, Inc.2024-12-31
97.2 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-12-31
94.2 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
90.4 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
89.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
84.6 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-12-31
69.9 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
63.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
869.1 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
538.8 K
Note, although First Business' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

First Business Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(10.2M)201K45.6M54.0M18.2M19.1M
Free Cash Flow26.4M35.6M35.4M54.5M57.3M60.1M
Depreciation3.5M3.6M4.1M3.8M3.7M2.1M
Other Non Cash Items14.8M(2.0M)(3.2M)(54.5M)5.0M5.3M
Dividends Paid5.7M6.2M7.4M438K8.3M8.7M
Capital Expenditures264K391K3.2M4.0M223K211.9K
Net Income17.0M35.8M40.9M54.5M44.2M46.5M
End Period Cash Flow56.9M57.1M102.7M54.0M157.7M165.6M
Investments(448.1M)(107.8M)(233.3M)(523.6M)(328.5M)(312.0M)
Net Borrowings20.5M99.1M(15.7M)43.3M49.8M37.1M
Change To Netincome432K12.1M2.1M(3.1M)(2.7M)(2.6M)

First Business Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to First Business or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that First Business' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a First stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

First Business Volatility Alert

First Business Financial exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.42 and kurtosis of 0.58. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure First Business' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact First Business' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

First Business Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing First Business' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze First Business' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between First Business and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as First Business or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of First Business' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Business by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare First Business to competition
FundamentalsFirst BusinessPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.012-0.14
Profit Margin0.31 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.42 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation694.76 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding8.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.01 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions70.67 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted46.96 K4.71 M
Price To Earning14.43 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.72 X11.42 X
Revenue233.13 M9.43 B
Gross Profit144.63 M27.38 B
EBITDA22.65 M3.9 B
Net Income44.24 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents84.44 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share9.96 X5.01 X
Total Debt327.98 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity10.82 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share38.17 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations57.49 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.51 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.20 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.89 X4.89 X
Target Price61.4
Number Of Employees34918.84 K
Beta0.88-0.15
Market Capitalization393.39 M19.03 B
Total Asset3.85 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings265.78 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return2.69 %
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Crampton Kevin D of First Business at 34.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

First Business Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About First Business Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell First Business Financial? Buying financial instruments such as First Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having First Business in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Video Games Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis

When running First Business' price analysis, check to measure First Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Business is operating at the current time. Most of First Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.