Digimarc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DMRC Stock  USD 14.47  0.43  3.06%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Digimarc is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Digimarc buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Digimarc positions.
  
Check out Digimarc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Digimarc Stock refer to our How to Trade Digimarc Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Digimarc and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Digimarc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Digimarc Buy or Sell Advice

The Digimarc recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Digimarc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Digimarc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Digimarc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell DigimarcBuy Digimarc
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Digimarc has a Mean Deviation of 3.89, Standard Deviation of 6.81 and Variance of 46.42
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Digimarc and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Digimarc is not overpriced, please confirm all Digimarc fundamentals, including its ebitda, cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Digimarc has a price to earning of (14.64) X, we urge you to verify Digimarc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Digimarc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Digimarc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Digimarc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 38.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.83 M.
Digimarc currently holds about 68.39 M in cash with (26.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.47.
Digimarc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: ROSEN, A LEADING INVESTOR RIGHTS LAW FIRM, Encourages Digimarc Corporation Investors to Secure ...

Digimarc Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Digimarc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Digimarc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Digimarc daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Digimarc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Digimarc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Digimarc.
Mean Return
-1.04
Value At Risk
-6.56
Potential Upside
7.34
Standard Deviation
6.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Digimarc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Digimarc Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
355.7 K
Granahan Investment Management Inc..2024-12-31
249.4 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
228.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
157.3 K
Springbok Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
151.6 K
Samjo Management Llc2024-12-31
135.3 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
135.2 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
122.7 K
Tallon Kerry Patrick2024-12-31
119.5 K
Altai Capital Management, L.p.2024-12-31
2.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
1.3 M
Note, although Digimarc's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Digimarc Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash8.5M(36.1M)10.9M(12.1M)(9.1M)(8.6M)
Free Cash Flow(22.0M)(27.7M)(45.9M)(22.7M)(26.8M)(25.4M)
Depreciation2.8M2.5M8.6M8.1M6.4M6.7M
Other Non Cash Items(204K)(4.4M)1.0M270K1.2M1.1M
Capital Expenditures1.6M1.6M1.5M740K212K201.4K
Net Income(32.5M)(34.8M)(59.8M)(46.0M)(39.0M)(37.1M)
End Period Cash Flow19.7M41.6M52.5M21.5M12.4M22.7M
Change To Inventory(702K)(512K)(2.1M)2.5M2.8M3.0M
Investments(32.2M)29.6M8.7M12.6M(11.3M)(10.7M)
Change Receivables(133K)114K(2.6M)2.2M2.6M2.7M
Change To Netincome8.2M9.1M7.6M11.4M13.1M7.2M

Digimarc Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Digimarc or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Digimarc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Digimarc stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.86
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.72
σ
Overall volatility
7.00
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Digimarc Volatility Alert

Digimarc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Digimarc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Digimarc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Digimarc Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Digimarc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Digimarc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Digimarc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Digimarc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Digimarc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Digimarc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Digimarc to competition
FundamentalsDigimarcPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.63-0.31
Return On Asset-0.33-0.14
Profit Margin(1.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.05) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation287.69 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding21.55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders29.89 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions63.17 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.03 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(14.64) X28.72 X
Price To Book5.08 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.12 X11.42 X
Revenue38.42 M9.43 B
Gross Profit28.83 M27.38 B
EBITDA(33.16 M)3.9 B
Net Income(39.01 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents68.39 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.21 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.06 %48.70 %
Current Ratio7.09 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.86 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(26.57 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio7.35 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.83) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.69) X4.89 X
Target Price27.5
Number Of Employees21518.84 K
Beta1.61-0.15
Market Capitalization311.81 M19.03 B
Total Asset75.77 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(350.78 M)9.33 B
Working Capital30.19 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Riley McCormack of 18160 shares of Digimarc at 35.11 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Digimarc Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Digimarc . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Digimarc Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Digimarc? Buying financial instruments such as Digimarc Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Digimarc in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Agriculture Thematic Idea Now

Agriculture
Agriculture Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Agriculture theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Agriculture Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Digimarc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Digimarc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Digimarc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Digimarc Stock:
Check out Digimarc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Digimarc Stock refer to our How to Trade Digimarc Stock guide.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Digimarc. If investors know Digimarc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Digimarc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.83)
Revenue Per Share
1.807
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.33)
Return On Equity
(0.63)
The market value of Digimarc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Digimarc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Digimarc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Digimarc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Digimarc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Digimarc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Digimarc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Digimarc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Digimarc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.